Patriots, Seahawks rate as favorites to reach Super Bowl

Mon Jan 19 1:36am ET
Field Level Media

The New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks are the favorites to reach Super Bowl LX at Santa Clara, Calif.

The Patriots are 5.5-point road favorites over the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday. Denver's chances took a big hit when standout quarterback Bo Nix broke his ankle in Saturday's 33-30 overtime victory over the Buffalo Bills in the divisional round.

New England recorded a 28-16 home win over the Houston Texans on Sunday.

Seattle is 2.5-point home favorites over the NFC West-rival Los Angeles Rams in the NFC title game. It will be the third time the Seahawks and Rams meet this season.

Seattle steamrolled the visiting San Francisco 49ers 41-6 on Saturday, while Los Angeles registered a 20-17 overtime victory over the host Chicago Bears on Sunday.

Seattle (+145) is listed as favorites to win the Super Bowl by DraftKings. The Rams (+210) are next in line and New England (+270) follows while the Broncos (+1100) are decisive long shots.

The Seahawks and Rams split the two regular-season meetings.

Seattle's third and final regular-season setback was a 21-19 road loss to the Rams on Nov. 16. The Seahawks have since won eight straight games.

Seattle defeated Los Angeles 38-37 at home in overtime on Dec. 18 when Sam Darnold tossed a game-ending two-point conversion pass to Eric Saubert.

DraftKings has set the over-under at 47.5 for this matchup.

The Rams posted a 34-31 road win over the host Carolina Panthers in the wild-card round on Jan. 10 prior to beating the Bears.

The Patriots and Broncos are meeting for the first time since Christmas Eve 2024 when New England won 26-23 in Denver. Bailey Zappe (Patriots) and Russell Wilson (Broncos) were the quarterbacks.

New England has allowed just 19 points while beating the Los Angeles Chargers and Texans in the postseason. DraftKings listed the over-under at 40.5 for the contest against Denver.

The Patriots intercepted Houston's C.J. Stroud four times and had five takeaways on Sunday. One week earlier, New England sacked Justin Herbert six times in a 16-3 home win over the Chargers in the wild-card round.

Denver will be starting journeyman Jarrett Stidham, who has made four career starts, two with the Las Vegas Raiders in 2022 and two with the Broncos in 2023. He is 1-3 in those games.

Stidham's top yardage outing came for the Raiders late in the 2022 season after the team benched Derek Carr. He passed for 365 yards and three touchdowns but was also picked off twice in a 37-34 overtime loss to the visiting 49ers.

Stidham was a member of the Patriots from 2019-21 and was nearly the replacement for Tom Brady. But the franchise signed Cam Newton shortly before 2020 training camp opened and Stidham appeared in five games as a backup.

Stidham missed a large chunk of the 2021 season due to offseason back surgery and didn't get any game action after his return. The Patriots traded him to the Raiders in the offseason.

Stidham is minus-107 to pass for 190 or more yards against New England. Patriots starter Drake Maye is minus-111 to throw for 231 or more yards.

Matthew Stafford of the Rams is minus-108 to pass for 260 or more yards, while Seattle's Sam Darnold is minus-106 to throw for 240-plus yards.

Maye and Stafford are the leading NFL MVP candidates.

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The Paur Report

Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Divisional Round

Player Notes
Kenneth Walker III Jan 18 11:03pm ET
Kenneth Walker III

Dynasty | Seahawks running back Kenneth Walker had 116 rushing yards and three touchdowns in a blowout playoff win against San Francisco. Dynasty Analysis: The injuries were just too much for the 49ers to overcome this year as Seattle shredded them all game long. Walker himself benefitted from a knee injury sustained by Zach Charbonnet to take control of the backfield and have his best game of the season. Walker will be an interesting case this off-season as he would be in line to have another monster workload next week if Charbonnet misses time. An impending free agent, Walker may be in the midst of a serious audition. His ultimate dynasty value will rest on where he plays next year.

Matthew Stafford Jan 18 10:33pm ET
Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford completed 20 of his 42 passes for 258 yards in a 20-17 overtime win over the Chicago Bears in the Divisional Round. RB Kyren Williams rushed for a team-high 87 yards and two touchdowns on 21 carries and added four grabs four 30 yards. RB Blake Corum was held in check, finishing with six carries for 19 yards. WR Puka Nacua and TE Colby Parkinson tied for the team lead with 56 receiving yards. Parkinson caught three passes, and Nacua had five receptions to go along with two carries for six yards. Davante Adams was limited to two catches for 24 yards, and TE Tyler Higbee had just one catch for 27 yards. WR Jordan Whittington finished with two receptions for 35 yards. S Kamren Curl turned in a standout performance, logging a team-high 13 tackles, including seven solo stops, and an interception. LB Nathan Landman finished with 10 tackles, including five solo stops, and CB Cobie Durant had two tackles, three passes defensed and a pair of interceptions.

From TheHuddle

Jayden Higgins Jan 18 10:20pm ET
Jayden Higgins

Houston Texans wide receiver Jayden Higgins caught six of his 10 targets for 59 yards during Sunday's Divisional Round loss against the New England Patriots. Higgins took on a larger role with Nico Collins (concussion) sidelined, and it resulted in him leading the team in both catches and receiving yards. The Iowa State product put together a strong rookie campaign, catching 41 passes for 525 yards and six touchdowns through 17 regular-season games. He added another 14 catches and 98 yards in the playoffs. Heading into next year, Higgins will continue to face competition for targets from Nico Collins and Jaylin Noel. Christian Kirk is expected to depart in free agency, but Tank Dell (knee) should take his place on offense and will create additional competition. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Houston, but Higgins will have a chance to emerge as the No. 2 target behind Collins.

From RotoBaller

Stefon Diggs Jan 18 10:20pm ET
Stefon Diggs

New England Patriots wide receiver Stefon Diggs caught four of his six targets for 40 yards and a touchdown during Sunday's Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans. The veteran receiver had a decent revenge game against his old team while helping the Patriots punch their ticket to the AFC Championship. Diggs has a solid 11 targets over his last two games, but his 56 yards during that span are a big step backward from the 282 yards he accrued over the final three weeks of the regular season. Fortunately for Diggs' managers and bettors, he salvaged his performance with the touchdown, delivering double-digit fantasy points (full-PPR) for the third time in his last five games. He'll likely carry a similar touchdown-dependent outlook into next week's matchup against a strong Denver defense. After all, the Broncos allowed the second-fewest fantasy points to wide receivers during the regular season.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Jan 18 10:13pm ET
D.J. Moore

Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams completed 23 of his 42 passes for 257 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions in a 20-17 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Rams in the Divisional Round. He added 40 rushing yards on five carries. RB D'Andre Swift rushed 19 times for 76 yards, and RB Kyle Monangai chipped in 36 rushing yards on 13 carries and caught four passes for 36 yards. TE Colston Loveland caught four passes for a team-high 56 yards, and WR DJ Moore had 52 receiving yards and a touchdown on a team-high five catches. WR Rome Odunze gained 44 receiving yards on two receptions, WR Luther Burden III added three catches for 24 yards, and TE Cole Kmet finished with three grabs for 31 yards and a game-tying touchdown that forced overtime. S Jaquan Brisker led the way on defense with a team-high 14 tackles, including eight solo stops, a sack and two passes defensed. CB Kyler Gordon, DE Montez Sweat and DE Dominique Robinson all recorded a sack in the loss.

From TheHuddle

Drake Maye Jan 18 9:50pm ET
Drake Maye

New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye completed 16 of his 27 pass attempts for 179 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He also rushed for 10 yards, took five sacks, and lost two fumbles. Maye didn't have the cleanest game by any means, and his three turnovers made life more difficult for the Patriots. Nevertheless, New England fended off the Houston Texans, who had one of their worst offensive performances in a while. Maye played better than his quarterback opponent, C.J. Stroud, and as a result, he'll survive another week. The former No. 3 pick moves on to face the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game next week. It'll be another tough matchup, as Denver allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks during the regular season.

From RotoBaller

Rhamondre Stevenson Jan 18 9:40pm ET
Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson rushed for 70 yards on 16 carries during Sunday's Divisional Round win over the Houston Texans. He also caught all four of his targets for an additional 11 receiving yards. Stevenson led the backfield in touches on Sunday, and understandably so. He was far more efficient (4.4 YPC) than teammate TreVeyon Henderson (2.1 YPC) once again. We'll likely see a similar distribution of touches heading into next week's AFC Championship Game against the Denver Broncos. Denver has a strong defense, allowing the fourth-fewest fantasy points to running backs during the regular season. With that being said, Stevenson has shown that he can produce even against strong run defenses. Look no further than Sunday's playoff win over Houston. He should remain a strong option for DFS managers and bettors going forward, especially in formats where his pass-catching role gives him a boost.

From RotoBaller

Joe Mixon Jan 18 9:13pm ET
Joe Mixon

Dynasty | Texans running back Woody Marks had 17 rushing yards in a playoff loss to the Patriots. Dynasty Analysis: He "added" two catches for 19 receiving yards. Marks had 703 rushing yards, 24 catches, 208 receiving yards and five total touchdowns as Joe Mixon sat out the entire season. This playoff game did little to step speculation indicating the starter for Houston next year is currently not on the roster. In short, Marks looked good but not great as a rookie. He will enter the off-season as the RB1 in Houston but it's unlikely he starts the season as such next year. He looks like a sell candidate in dynasty leagues at the moment.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

C.J. Stroud Jan 18 9:10pm ET
C.J. Stroud

Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud completed 20 of his 47 pass attempts for 212 yards, one touchdown, and four interceptions during Sunday's Divisional Round loss against the New England Patriots. He also took three sacks and rushed for 11 yards. The former No. 2 pick had an ugly game, and his turnovers proved to be the difference-maker in Houston's two-possession loss. It was previously reported that the Texans have decided to pick up Stroud's fifth-year option for 2027, and while that decision isn't official yet, Sunday's game likely won't change much. However, this frustrating performance could have some impact on whether Stroud earns a long-term extension in the future. He is now 3-3 in the playoffs through three seasons, totaling six touchdowns, six interceptions, and seven fumbles during that span. He'll look to clean up the turnovers ahead of the 2026 regular season. He should rank as a fringe top-12 fantasy quarterback heading into next summer's fantasy drafts.

From RotoBaller

D.J. Moore Jan 18 9:03pm ET
D.J. Moore

Chicago Bears WR DJ Moore (head) was evaluated for a concussion but was cleared to return to the Divisional Round game against the Los Angeles Rams.

Fantasy Spin: Moore has been leading the Chicago passing attack, and he was on the receiving end of the team's first touchdown. After being cleared to return, Moore will try to pick up where he left off.

From TheHuddle

Aaron Rodgers Jan 18 8:53pm ET
Aaron Rodgers

Pittsburgh Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers would be welcomed back in 2026, although the Steelers believe a return is unlikely due to the resignation of head coach Mike Tomlin.

Fantasy Spin: The Steelers have left the door open for Rodgers returning, but if he does play in 2026, it will likely be with a new team. If Rodgers does decide to suit up for another season, he will likely be a midrange QB2 regardless of where he signs.

From TheHuddle

Cade Stover Jan 18 6:20pm ET
Cade Stover

Houston Texans tight end Cade Stover (knee) has been ruled out for the remainder of Sunday's AFC Divisional Round game against the New England Patriots with a knee injury. He suffered a knee injury during the fourth quarter and will not return on Sunday. According to Aaron Wilson of KPRC2, his knee injury appeared significant. Dalton Schultz also exited Sunday's game earlier with a calf issue, and now leaves Harrison Bryant as the only healthy tight end for the Texans. Stover caught one of three targets for two yards before exiting. The 25-year-old will undergo additional tests after the game to determine the severity of the injury. Bryant should see an expanded role with both Schultz and Stover out.

From RotoBaller

Carlton Davis Jan 18 6:13pm ET
Carlton Davis

New England Patriots CB Carlton Davis (head) left the AFC Divisional Round playoff game against the Houston Texans in the second half due to a head injury. Prior to departing, he had four solo tackles, a tackle for loss, four passes defensed and two interceptions.

From TheHuddle

Ben DiNucci Jan 18 5:40pm ET
Ben DiNucci

The Denver Broncos signed quarterback Ben DiNucci to their practice squad on Sunday. He rejoins the Broncos after playing for the team two seasons ago. With Bo Nix (ankle) set to miss the rest of the playoffs due to a broken bone in his ankle, the Broncos added DiNucci for quarterback depth. The 29-year-old was waived by the Falcons during training camp and hasn't played in an NFL game since 2020. Jarrett Stidham will start Sunday's AFC Championship game against either the Houston Texans or New England Patriots, while Sam Ehlinger will serve as the backup. The DiNucci signing doesn't have any fantasy impact, as he's likely to be the team's emergency quarterback unless the Broncos bring in other QB options next week.

From RotoBaller

Rhamondre Stevenson Jan 18 5:30pm ET
Rhamondre Stevenson

New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson (eye) has returned in Sunday's AFC Divisional Round game against the Houston Texans. Stevenson exited Sunday's early during the first half after being poked in the eye. The 27-year-old currently has 30 rushing yards on four carries while catching two passes for eight yards. He logged a few carries during the third quarter and appears to be over the eye issue that caused him to miss a few drives in the second quarter. Stevenson returning on Sunday is a massive boost as New England looks maintain its 21-13 lead over the Texans.

From RotoBaller

Tutu Atwell Jan 18 5:20pm ET
Tutu Atwell

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Tutu Atwell (coach's decision) is inactive for Sunday's Divisional Round contest against the Chicago Bears. Atwell is a healthy scratch after he did not appear on the Rams' injury report leading up to gameday. The 26-year-old had an underwhelming regular season and also dealt with a six-week injury absence. He finished the campaign with six catches, 192 yards, and one touchdown, and he was not targeted in the Rams' Wild Card win over Carolina. His absence should lead to more offensive snaps for Xavier Smith and Konata Mumpfield in their depth roles behind Puka Nacua and Davante Adams.

From RotoBaller

Josh Allen Jan 18 5:13pm ET
Josh Allen

Dynasty | Bills quarterback Josh Allen completed 25-of-39 passes for 283 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions in a playoff loss to the Broncos. Dynasty Analysis: Philip Rivers, Dan Marino, and Matt Ryan are starting to be put on notice as Allen is starting to look like the best quarterback to have never won a Super Bowl at this point. It's an unfortunate turn of events again for Allen as he again tried to will his away to the big game despite Buffalo continuing to fail in their attempts to get him a legitimate WR1. Allen had another QB1 season and will again be a threat to be the overall QB1 in dynasty leagues next season but his ADP is going to start falling a touch now that he'll turn 30 in a few months.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Keon Coleman Jan 18 5:13pm ET
Keon Coleman

Dynasty | Bills wide receiver Keon Coleman had a ten-yard touchdown catch in the Bills playoff loss to the Broncos. Dynasty Analysis: Unfortunately, that was his only reception. This puts a bow on a disappointing Sophomore season that featured just 38 catches for 404 yards and four scores in 13 regular season games. Coleman can't quite be labeled a bust just yet but he has been in and out of the doghouse a few times and failed to really make much of an impact thus far. Coleman is a hold in dynasty leagues but not a particularly exciting one.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Marvin Mims Jan 18 5:13pm ET
Marvin Mims

Dynasty | Broncos wide receiver Marvin Mims had eight catches for 93 yards and a touchdown in a playoff win over Buffalo. Dynasty Analysis: Considering Mims came into the game with a 37/322/1 line on the season, this was quite the surprise. Pegged as a sleeper going into the year, Mims failed to produce a third-year breakout campaign, despite playing on a good team with an ascending quarterback. This was a nice game but hardly the performance we need to see to rely on him in upcoming drafts.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Bo Nix Jan 18 5:13pm ET
Bo Nix

Dynasty | Broncos quarterback Bo Nix is out for the season with a broken ankle. Dynasty Analysis: The stunning development came after he threw for 279 yards and three touchdowns in an overtime win over the Bills, catapulting the Broncos into the AFC title game. It's a stunning turn of events as he apparently broke it the play before throwing a go-ahead touchdown pass to Marvin Mims. Nix will be out for the remainder of the playoffs and have surgery this week. This injury happened late but a broken bone likely won't have any impact on his availability for next season. As such, he'll remain a QB1 in dynasty leagues.

From Dynasty League Fantasy