Instant Fantasy Analysis

Mon Mar 10 9:35am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Metcalf heads to the Steelers


The NFL does such a good job of staying relevant all season long. Free agency hasn’t even officially opened but the NFL continues to dominate headlines. Teams are agreeing to deals with free agents and trades are happening nearly every day. There is so much to keep up with, but we are here to help. It is time for some instant fantasy analysis of the latest moves from around the league.

Here is the latest. . . . .

The Jaguars traded receiver Christian Kirk to the Texans. This is a great spot for Kirk to land. He could become the go-to possession receiver for Houston. With Tank Dell’s status up in the air for the coming season, Kirk could take his role in the offense. Kirk should pair with Nico Collins to form a solid duo for quarterback C.J. Stroud. With that said, Kirk probably isn’t more than a No. 3 or 4 fantasy receiver. He isn’t likely to post some of his huge numbers from past seasons but should be able to get 70-plus receptions with around 1,000 yards. He should be a good depth piece or spot starter.

Las Vegas found their quarterback for the coming season, trading for Geno Smith. This is a big upgrade for the Raiders offense and their playmakers in the passing game. As for Smith, this probably isn’t a great spot for his fantasy value. He does reunite with his old coach, Pete Carroll, but the weapons in the passing game are lacking a little in Las Vegas, especially if you compare what he had to work with in Seattle. The only positive is the Raiders could be playing from behind, giving Smith more chance to air out. Smith could see his numbers dip a little from his days in Seattle. He is going to be spot start material for fantasy teams. 

The Seahawks got their quarterback a few days later, agreeing to a deal with Sam Darnold. This could be a good fit for Darnold and the Seahawks. He isn’t going to post the huge numbers he did with the Vikings explosive offense last year, though. We would consider Darnold more of a spot starter for fantasy teams this year. He should have a few big games but likely be pretty ho-hum most weeks.

Defense end Myles Garrett requested a trade a few weeks back but money apparently talks. The Browns signed Garrett to a massive contract extension, making him the highest-paid non-quarterback in league history. Garrett will continue to lead the Browns top defense, which is good news for that fantasy unit.

The Vikings agreed to terms with running back Aaron Jones on a new two-year contract. This keeps Jones in Minnesota for a few more seasons. Jones was 15th overall in fantasy running back scoring this past season and has obvious fantasy value in this offense. He should be considered a top No. 2 fantasy back for the coming year. Injury is always a concern for him, especially at his age, but as long as he is on he field, he should produce good numbers in this offense.

The Rams made a big move for their offense, agreeing to terms with receiver Davante Adams on a two-year contract. Adams will replace Cooper Kupp, who the team is trying to move. Adams should be a healthier version of Kupp and produce some good numbers in this top offense. It wouldn’t surprise to see Adams push 100 receptions this coming season, being a top possession target for Matthew Stafford. Consider Adams a top No. 2 for fantasy teams. And don’t downgrade Puka Nacua because of this move. Nacua remains the top target in this offense and produced big numbers when Kupp was healthy and playing at a high level.

Pittsburgh added another top weapon to their passing game, trading for DK Metcalf. And he is signing a new, five-year contract with the team. It is hard to gauge Metcalf’s fantasy value right now, though, because we don’t know their quarterback. We will have a better idea of his value once that is figured out. For now, Metcalf should be considered a solid No. 2 fantasy receiver in this offense. The Steelers don’t have a great history in recent seasons of producing big fantasy receivers. Metcalf could be a little hit or miss for a team that likes to run the ball.

The Jets agreed to terms with Justin Fields to be their starting quarterback. This is a really intriguing signing for fantasy purposes. Fields might not be the best passer but his rushing totals really boost his fantasy value. As long as he is starting, he has good fantasy value. And he also gets to reunite with former college teammate Garrett Wilson, which could be a plus as well. Overall, Fields in a starring role is a plus for fantasy teams. He has the potential to a be top-10 fantasy quarterback if all goes well for him.

Dalles added Javonte Williams to their running back room. This is an interesting signing. It is thought the Cowboys want to address the running back position in the draft but for now, Williams looks to have the first shot to start. And if starting, he could have his best season to date in Dallas. He could do well in their pass-first offense, getting plenty of chances as a receiver out of the backfield. We’ll know more about this signing after the draft, though.

The Chargers seem to be moving on from JK Dobbins, agreeing to a deal with Najee Harris. This might be a downgrade from Dobbins a little but is a great fantasy spot for Harris. He seems like he could be a perfect fit for the Chargers offense. It would not surprise if he has his best fantasy season to date in this offense. 

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Starts, Sits, Sleepers: Divisional Round

Player Notes
Puka Nacua Jan 19 11:40pm ET
Puka Nacua

Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Puka Nacua had some clutch catches to move the chains in Sunday's snowy Divisional Round win over the Chicago Bears, but he didn't exactly go off for fantasy managers in playoff leagues. Nacua caught five of his 10 targets for 56 yards while rushing the ball twice for six yards in the overtime victory. It was the 24-year-old's third-lowest yardage total of the year, and he failed to find the end zone for the first time since Dec. 14 against the Detroit Lions. Nacua had 10 receptions for 111 yards and a touchdown in last week's Wild-Card win over the Carolina Panthers. He's one of the best all-around players in the NFL and will take on the division-rival Seattle Seahawks in the NFC Championship this Sunday. The last time he faced Seattle in Week 16, Nacua went off for 12 catches, a season-high 225 yards, and two touchdowns. Nacua will most likely bounce back against Seattle.

From RotoBaller

Mike McDaniel Jan 19 10:50pm ET
Mike McDaniel

NFL Network's Tom Pelissero mentions Denver Broncos quarterbacks coach Davis Webb as a potential head-coaching candidate for the Buffalo Bills to replace Sean McDermott, who was fired on Monday. Webb was a backup QB for several seasons in Buffalo and has a really close relationship with current QB Josh Allen. Pelissero mentioned that league sources are getting the sense that Buffalo will hire an offensive-minded head coach. Current head coach Joe Brady will be a candidate to be promoted, but Pelissero is unsure if he is "the" candidate for the job. It wouldn't be a surprise if former Miami Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel's name comes up as the Bills search for McDermott's replacement this offseason. Even though Baltimore's and Pittsburgh's head-coaching jobs have yet to be filled, the Bills' opening is now at the top of the list for most attractive head-coaching jobs in the NFL, primarily because of Allen.

From RotoBaller

Tank Dell Jan 19 10:00pm ET
Tank Dell

Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said on Monday that he's "excited" to see wide receiver Tank Dell (knee) back on the field for the 2026 season, according to Aaron Wilson of KPRC2 Sports. Dell missed the entire 2025 season after tearing his ACL, MCL, and LCL in Week 16 of 2024. The 26-year-old spent all of 2025 rehabbing after having multiple surgeries to fix his knee. Dell's timeline to return to football activities is unknown, so we don't know exactly yet whether he'll be ready for training camp in the summer, preseason, or the start of the 2026 campaign in the fall. The former third-round pick is fortunate to even have the chance to play football again after his devastating knee injury, so expecting him to become fantasy relevant in his final year under contract might be a stretch, especially after the Texans added wideouts Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel in the 2025 NFL Draft.

From RotoBaller

George Holani Jan 19 9:40pm ET
George Holani

Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said that running back George Holani (hamstring) could come off Injured Reserve to join the team this week as they prepare to face the division-rival Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Championship game on Sunday, according to The Athletic's Michael-Shawn Dugar. "George is an option, yeah. We'll see how it goes this week," Macdonald said. The Seahawks could use Holani the rest of the playoffs after it was announced on Monday that Zach Charbonnet (knee) tore his ACL in Saturday's Divisional Round win over the San Francisco 49ers. Velus Jones Jr. saw six carries for 10 yards after Charbonnet was injured, but he was sent back to the practice squad on Monday. If Holani isn't available to play this weekend, the Seahawks will have the option of elevating either Jones or Cam Akers to serve as Kenneth Walker III's backup against the Rams.

From RotoBaller

Joe Mixon Jan 19 9:40pm ET
Joe Mixon

When asked whether he expects a future with running back Joe Mixon (foot, ankle) on Monday, Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said, "As of right now, I don't know that," according to Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle. Mixon didn't play at all during the 2025 season, yet the Texans managed to make the playoffs for the third straight year without him. The 29-year-old's future in Houston depends entirely on the health of his foot/ankle going into next season. From a contractual perspective, Mixon is with the team through the 2026 season. Veteran Nick Chubb opened the year as Houston's primary running back before rookie Woody Marks took over in the second half. Even if Mixon recovers this offseason and is ready to go for the season opener this fall, he won't be guaranteed to get the RB1 job back with Marks around.

From RotoBaller

Sam Darnold Jan 19 9:30pm ET
Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald said the plan with quarterback Sam Darnold (oblique) this week will be day-to-day to see how he's doing, according to Curtis Crabtree of FOX 13 Seattle. "Balancing making sure we get enough reps at the proper tempo, with the proper looks, you know, and getting Sam the reps that he needs," Macdonald said. Darnold played through a questionable tag in the Divisional Round win over the San Francisco 49ers after injuring his left oblique in practice on Thursday. The 28-year-old wasn't needed all that much in the 41-6 blowout win, and he finished 12-for-17 passing for 124 yards and a touchdown. He will most likely be on the practice report this week and may not be full go, but it would be a surprise if he's not ready to play this Sunday in the NFC Championship versus the division-rival Rams. Darnold will most likely have to throw the ball much more in that one to keep up with L.A.'s potent offense.

From RotoBaller

George Kittle Jan 19 5:03pm ET
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers TE George Kittle (Achilles) said be believes he will return to the lineup before November and hopes to be able play closer to the start of the 2026 regular season.

Fantasy Spin: Kittle suffered the injury during the playoffs, so there is a good chance that he will miss some regular season games in 2026. Fantasy players should monitor the situation during training camp to have a better idea of his timetable. He is a No. 1 fantasy tight end when healthy, but players may need a short-term replacement at the position until Kittle returns.

From TheHuddle

C.J. Stroud Jan 19 3:50pm ET
C.J. Stroud

When asked about quarterback C.J. Stroud and a potential long-term contract extension, Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said, "I'm not getting into that right now." Stroud will most likely have his fifth-year option picked up by Houston, but all bets are off as far as long-term extension talks go after a rough two-game performance in the playoffs this year. The 24-year-old former second overall pick in 2023 out of Ohio State threw an interception and fumbled five times (two lost) in the Wild-Card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers before going 20-for-47 for 212 yards, one touchdown, and a season-high four interceptions in the loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday in the Divisional Round. Stroud burst onto the scene as a rookie in 2023, but since then, he's had two disappointing campaigns that raise questions in Houston about whether he's actually the long-term answer under center.

From RotoBaller

J.K. Dobbins Jan 19 3:40pm ET
J.K. Dobbins

The Denver Broncos are opening the 21-day practice window for running back J.K. Dobbins (foot), who suffered what was thought to be a season-ending Lisfranc foot injury in Week 10 against the Las Vegas Raiders, sources told ESPN's Adam Schefter. Depending on how he looks and feels in practice this week, Dobbins has a chance to play in Sunday's AFC Championship game against the visiting New England Patriots. It would be great news for a Broncos team that received the devastating news shortly after Saturday's Divisional Round win over the Buffalo Bills that star quarterback Bo Nix is out for the rest of the playoffs with a broken ankle. Still, Dobbins might have a better chance to return if the Broncos pull off the upset over the Pats to reach the Super Bowl. If he does return this weekend, we'd expect a limited role for Dobbins alongside rookie RJ Harvey and Jaleel McLaughlin.

From RotoBaller

Rome Odunze Jan 19 2:30pm ET
Rome Odunze

Chicago Bears wide receiver Rome Odunze (foot) reiterated that he will not need offseason surgery on his foot, according to Jason Lieser of the Chicago Sun-Times. Odunze had a stress fracture in his foot that caused him to miss the final five games of the regular season. He returned for Chicago's two playoff games to catch exactly two passes for 44 yards in both contests. The 23-year-old second-year wideout was a popular breakout candidate in fantasy going into the 2025 season, and he was well on his way to fulfilling that with five touchdown catches in the first four games. However, Odunze quickly cooled off and scored only one more time in his final 10 games. His foot injury likely had something to do with that. Odunze will look to bounce back in 2026 with better health, but his fantasy ceiling could be capped with the emergence of young receiver Luther Burden III and tight end Colston Loveland.

From RotoBaller

Zach Charbonnet Jan 19 2:00pm ET
Zach Charbonnet

Updating a previous report, Seattle Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet (knee) suffered a torn ACL in his knee in Saturday's Divisional Round win over the San Francisco 49ers, a source told Adam Schefter of ESPN. Charbonnet will require surgery and will not only miss the rest of the playoffs, but he'll most likely miss most of the 2026 season as well, given the timing of his injury. Before tearing his ACL, the 25-year-old third-year back ran the ball five times for 20 yards. Kenneth Walker had 19 carries for a season-high 116 yards and three touchdowns with Charbonnet out. It's a tough ending to Charbonnet's best season in the NFL, as he set career highs across the board during the regular season in carries (184), rushing yards (730), and rushing touchdowns (12). Walker should see a bigger workload the rest of the way in the postseason, with Velus Jones Jr. being elevated to the RB2 role.

From RotoBaller

Mack Hollins Jan 19 1:33pm ET
Mack Hollins

New England Patriots WR Mack Hollins' (abdomen) availability for the AFC Championship game is uncertain at this point, according to head coach Mike Vrabel. Hollins is currently on the Reserve/Injured list.

Fantasy Spin: Hollins had a decent role in the passing game before the injury, so he should see a few targets in the passing game if he is available for the championship game. He can be a possible flex option if active.

From TheHuddle

Sam Darnold Jan 19 1:20pm ET
Sam Darnold

Seattle Seahawks head coach Mike Macdonald doesn't believe that quarterback Sam Darnold (oblique) suffered a setback with his oblique injury during Saturday's 41-6 blowout win over the San Francisco 49ers in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, according to The Athletic's Michael-Shawn Dugar. "To my knowledge, he's good. Didn't make it worse or anything," Macdonald said. However, Darnold said on Saturday night that his oblique is "something they'll have to keep managing." The 28-year-old went 12-for-17 passing for 124 yards with a touchdown in the win over the Niners after suffering an oblique injury in practice last Thursday. The Seahawks didn't need Darnold to throw the ball much in the rout, but that probably won't be the case this weekend against L.A. Darnold might be on the injury report, but he should be fine to take the field against the Rams next Sunday.

From RotoBaller

Zach Charbonnet Jan 19 1:10pm ET
Zach Charbonnet

Seattle Seahawks running back Zach Charbonnet (knee) suffered a significant knee injury in Saturday's Divisional Round win over the San Francisco 49ers and will require surgery, according to head coach Mike Macdonald. Charbonnet will miss the rest of the playoffs, according to Michael-Shawn Dugar of The Athletic. It's a significant blow to Seattle's offense heading into the NFC Championship game this weekend against the division-rival Los Angeles Rams. The 25-year-old had only five carries for 20 yards on Saturday before the injury, and he finished the regular season with career highs in rushing attempts (184), rushing yards (730), and rushing touchdowns (12) in 16 games played. Charb added 20 catches for 144 yards through the air. Kenneth Walker III should have a bigger role as the RB1 going forward, with Velus Jones Jr. expected to back him up as the RB2.

From RotoBaller

Colston Loveland Jan 19 12:10pm ET
Colston Loveland

Chicago Bears head coach Ben Johnson said that rookie tight end Colston Loveland (concussion) suffered a concussion in Sunday's Divisional Round overtime loss to the Los Angeles Rams, according to Nicholas Moreano of Watch Marquee Sports. Loveland left the game after making an 18-yard reception in the fourth quarter, and he never returned. The 21-year-old finished the game with four catches on a team-high 10 targets for a team-leading 56 yards in the 20-17 defeat. Loveland got off to a slow start in his first NFL season, but he finished as one of the team's top targets. In 16 regular-season games, he hauled in 58 of his 82 targets for 713 yards and six touchdowns to finish as the TE12 in half-PPR points. Loveland added 12 catches for 193 yards in Chicago's two playoff games, and he'll be firmly in TE1 territory in fantasy drafts this fall.

From RotoBaller

Sean McDermott Jan 19 11:13am ET
Sean McDermott

Buffalo Bills head coach Sean McDermott was fired Monday, Jan. 19.

From TheHuddle

Matthew Stafford Jan 19 11:10am ET
Matthew Stafford

Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford managed to lead his team to victory, but he did not have his most productive day in the NFC Divisional Round against the Chicago Bears. The 37-year-old completed 20 of 42 pass attempts for 258 yards (6.1 yards per attempt) without a touchdown. He also fumbled twice, although both were recovered by the Rams. Stafford is playing through a sprained right index finger that he suffered in the Wild Card Round, which could be negatively impacting his performance. Still, his team will likely need more from him in the NFC Championship Game against the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle completely dominated San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy in the Divisional Round, holding him to 140 passing yards and holding the 49ers to just six total points. However, Stafford had plenty of success against the Seahawks in the regular season, completing 44 of 77 pass attempts for 587 yards, five touchdowns, and zero interceptions across two meetings between the two NFC West foes. Fantasy managers may be wise to closely monitor reports on Stafford's injured finger heading into the NFC Championship Game.

From RotoBaller

Colston Loveland Jan 19 11:00am ET
Colston Loveland

Chicago Bears tight end Colston Loveland recorded four catches for 56 yards on 10 targets in his team's NFC Divisional Round loss to the Los Angeles Rams. While Loveland did not have his most efficient day against Los Angeles, the 21-year-old had an encouraging postseason overall. Across two playoff games, Loveland hauled in 12 catches for 193 yards on a team-leading 25 targets. His strong playoffs were a continuation of his breakout finish to his strong regular season. Over his final four outings of the year, Loveland recorded 28 receptions for 378 yards and two touchdowns on a whopping 48 targets. Including the playoffs, Loveland totaled 906 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 70 receptions across 18 games as a rookie. The Bears have talented wide receivers locked up for the future as well in Rome Odunze, Luther Burden III, and DJ Moore. However, Loveland may be emerging as the preferred target of Bears quarterback Caleb Williams and profiles as a high-end tight end option for fantasy managers heading into the 2026 season.

From RotoBaller

Caleb Williams Jan 19 10:40am ET
Caleb Williams

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams nearly led his team to another improbable comeback win over the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC Divisional Round, completing 23 of 42 pass attempts for 257 yards and two touchdowns. However, the 24-year-old also threw three interceptions, including a back-breaking pick in overtime that set the Rams up for a game-winning field goal. Williams took Bears fans and fantasy managers on a rollercoaster ride across his first two postseason games, completing 52.2% of his pass attempts for 618 yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions. He also provided production with his legs, rushing for 60 yards on eight attempts. Williams' turnover struggles in the playoffs were a bit of a surprise, as he threw just seven interceptions across 17 regular-season games. Overall, the young quarterback still has plenty to work on, but he showed signs of significant growth from year one to year two and should be a sought-after fantasy quarterback in 2026.

From RotoBaller

Kyren Williams Jan 19 10:30am ET
Kyren Williams

Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams helped power his team to the NFC Championship Game by recording 21 carries for 67 yards and two touchdowns in a win over the Chicago Bears. Williams also hauled in four catches for 30 yards on five targets. Dating back to the regular season, the 25-year-old has now played exactly 63% of the Rams' offensive snaps in three straight games. While Los Angeles continues to utilize running back Blake Corum, Williams has re-emerged as the team's clear lead back. Against Chicago, Williams earned 25 touches, compared to just six for Corum. Across two postseason games this year, Williams has now recorded 172 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns on 40 touches. In the NFC Championship Game, he will face a difficult matchup against the Seattle Seahawks. However, Williams had some success across his two regular-season outings against Seattle, recording a combined 181 scrimmage yards and a touchdown on 39 touches.

From RotoBaller