Studs and Duds: Divisional Round

Mon Jan 23 8:14am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Kelce comes up huge for Chiefs


The games were good this past weekend, but not quite as entertaining as the previous week. Some of the games just weren’t very close. Just two of the games were one-score games and both those games were seven-point wins. And there were some big games this year, but not a lot of huge performances. The games were a little more defensive minded, leading to lower fantasy scores. Here is to hoping you had those players that scored big this week. 

Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20

Fantasy Stud: Travis Kelce. Kelce had an absolutely monster performance. He had 14 receptions for 98 yards and two touchdowns. He was leaned on early and often throughout the game. This could be a theme for the entire playoffs for the Chiefs passing game, leaning on their best player in the passing game as much as possible. Kelce scored a season-high 35.8 fantasy points in the game. He had season highs in receptions and targets (17). 

Fantasy Dud: JuJu Smith-Schuster. Smith-Schuster did not get much work, catching two passes for 29 yards. He had fewer touches than fellow receiver Kadarius Toney. Smith-Schuster hasn’t been very good down the stretch, though. He has fewer than 40 yards four straight games and six of eight. He hasn’t been the same playing since returning from injury in Week 12. 

Game Notes: The big news in this game is Patrick Mahomes suffered an ankle injury. He left the game for a few series but was able to return. He clearly wasn’t 100 percent, though. He finished the game 22-of-30 for 195 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover. 

Isiah Pacheco had a great showing in his first playoff game, topping 100 total yards. He ran 12 times for 95 yards, averaging an impressive 7.9 yards per carry. He also had on reception for six yards, giving him 101 total yards. 

Eagles 38, Giants 7

Fantasy Stud: Jalen Hurts. Hurts looked a lot healthier this week and it showed in his play. He was 16-of-24 for 154 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover. He also ran nine times for 34 yards and a touchdown, giving him three total scores. Hurts had 25.1 fantasy points, producing good numbers for all his fantasy owners. Hurts might not be 100 percent recovered from his shoulder injury, but he looked a lot closer in this one. 

Fantasy Dud: Daniel Jones. The Eagles did a great job of holding a red-hot Daniel Jones in check. He failed to score a touchdown. He was 15-of-27 for 135 yards with an interception. And he ran six times for just 24 yards. He had 25-plus fantasy points three straight games before this one. He scored just 8.2 fantasy points, his worst number for the entire season. 

Game Notes: The Eagles ground game dominated with Kenneth Gainwell and Miles Sanders producing big. Gainwell didn’t start, but had 12 carries for 112 yards and a touchdown. Sanders had 17 carries for 90 yards. 

Richie James led the way at receiver for the Giants. He had seven receptions for 51 yards.  James had at least seven catches four of his last six games. 

Bengals 27, Bills 10

Fantasy Stud: Joe Mixon. Mixon was leaned on often in this game and produced big with his chances. He ran 20 times for 105 yards and a touchdown. He also caught two passes for 18 yards. Mixon was really quiet in the Bengals playoff opener, so it was good to see hi get it going again. It was his first 100-yard rushing game since Week 9 of the regular season. 

Fantasy Dud: Josh Allen. Allen picked a bad time to have one of his worst showings of the season. He failed to score a passing touchdown. He was 25-of-42 for 265 yards with an interception. He led the Bills in rushing, but managed just 26 yards on eight carries. He did find the end zone on the ground, which was a positive for his fantasy production. Allen had a great year and will be on of the first three quarterbacks off the board in next year’s fantasy drafts. 

Game Notes: Joe Burrow played a strong game in tough, snowy conditions. He was 23-of-36 for 242 yards and two touchdowns without a turnover. He also ran six times for 31 yards. 

Stefon Diggs had a down showing for his standards. He had just four catches for 35 yards. It was just his fourth game all season with fewer than 50-receiving yards. 

49ers 19, Cowboys 12

Fantasy Stud: CeeDee Lamb. Lamb didn’t score but was huge in this game. He had 10 receptions for 117 yards. He also ran twice for six yards, giving him 123 total yards. This was his fourth game this season with double-digit receptions. Lamb had a huge season as the top receiver in the Cowboys offense and seems poised for huge things going forward in that role. 

Fantasy Dud: Deebo Samuel. Samuel got his touches but couldn’t break a big play. He had four catches for 45 yards and ran four times for 11 yards. The Cowboys did a great job of containing the top playmaker. Samuel was held to fewer than double-digit fantasy points after having 28.5 his previous playoff game. 

Game Notes: Tony Pollard suffered a fractured left fibula during the game. He had six carries for 22 yards before the injury. Ezekiel Elliott got most of the work the rest of the way and ran 10 times for 26 yards.

Christian McCaffrey was slowed by a calf injury and had four fewer carries than Elijah Mitchell. McCaffrey still produced pretty well when on the field. He ran 10 times for 35 yards and a touchdown. He also caught six passes for 22 yards. 

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Cincinnati Bengals defensive end Trey Hendrickson requested a trade on Wednesday, according to his agent, Harold Lewis, as he seeks more long-term security after the two sides settled on a one-year extension last year worth $21 million. However, a source said that the Bengals are not interested in trading Hendrickson. It's not surprise that Hendrickson is looking for a new deal after posting a career-high 17.5 sacks, which was second in the NFL behind Pittsburgh's T.J. Watt. It was the highest total for a Bengals player since sacks became a statistic in 1982. He also finished 11th in pass-rush win rate as an edge rusher and created the second-most sacks (18) in the league. Contract issues aside, Hendrickson is going to be a very coveted defensive lineman in IDP fantasy formats this fall after his big 2023 campaign.

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Brandon Aiyuk Apr 25 11:20pm CT
Brandon Aiyuk

The San Francisco 49ers are "more likely" to trade wide receiver Deebo Samuel than Brandon Aiyuk during this year's 2024 NFL draft, according to a source. Aiyuk's name has been mentioned in trade rumors all offseason, but now Samuel is the more likely pass-catcher to be dealt. Samuel, 28, is two years older than Aiyuk but has more versatility in the offense. However, Samuel also has a salary cap hit north of $20 million in 2025. Aiyuk is looking for a new long-term deal as he heads into the fifth and final contract of his rookie deal, but the Niners have been hesitant to give him a market deal given their other financial commitments. San Francisco took rookie pass-catcher Ricky Pearsall with the 31st overall pick in the first round on Thursday night, potentially foreshadowing a trade of either Samuel or Aiyuk in the coming days.

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Justin Herbert Apr 25 11:20pm CT
Justin Herbert

In recent weeks, both the New England Patriots and Minnesota Vikings reached out to the Los Angeles Chargers to see if they had any interest in trading quarterback Justin Herbert, according to league sources. The answer they got very quickly was "a flat no." Not only do the Chargers love Herbert, but they also would have had to take on a $63.5 million salary cap charge in 2024 at a time they have $32.3 million of cap space. Meanwhile, the Patriots took QB Drake Maye third overall and the Vikings took QB J.J. McCarthy 11th overall in the first round of this year's NFL draft. There's still a lot to like about the 26-year-old Herbert, but it's hard to ignore the fact that he lost Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams this offseason and is now in a run-first offense under new head coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman.

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Caleb Williams Apr 25 11:13pm CT
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Jayden Daniels Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Jayden Daniels

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Drake Maye Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Drake Maye

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Kyler Murray Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Kyler Murray

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Jayden Daniels Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Jayden Daniels

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Daniel Jones Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Daniel Jones

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DeAndre Hopkins Apr 25 11:13pm CT
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Michael Penix Jr. Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Michael Penix Jr.

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Justin Herbert Apr 25 11:13pm CT
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Caleb Williams Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Caleb Williams

Dynasty | The Chicago Bears drafted wide receiver Rome Odunze with the ninth overall pick in the 2024 overall draft. Dynasty Analysis: Many mock drafts had put Odunze at #9 to Chicago and that's exactly where he ended up. His dynasty prospects are going to be a little cloudy early as he attempts to navigate his way to targets with the likes of Keenan Allen and DJ Moore early in his career but he has the chops to be a dominant dynasty performer in time. His career arc should match that of Caleb Williams and while the early returns could be hit and miss he still looks like a top three wide receiver and top five rookie pick this off-season.

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Sam Darnold Apr 25 11:13pm CT
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Russell Wilson Apr 25 11:13pm CT
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Brock Bowers Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Brock Bowers

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Caleb Williams Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Caleb Williams

Dynasty | After getting a big quarterback upgrade with the selection of Caleb Williams, Moore gets some serious competition for targets as the Bears pick Rome Odunze. Dynasty Analysis: The excitement of Williams throwing to Moore and Co. lasted all of eight picks, as the ninth overall selection of Odunze poses a threat to Moore's workload. While Odunze's downfield prowess compliments the short-mid range deployment of Keenan Allen, Odunze will directly compete with Moore for downfield and perimeter targets. Moore will continue to line up as the WR1 in the offense, but his WR16 dynasty ranking at DLF isn't likely to hold up with his diminished target share.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Cole Kmet Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Cole Kmet

Dynasty | The Raiders select generational talent Brock Bowers, effectively burying Mayer and his dynasty value. Dynasty Analysis: A chalk sleeper at the TE position, Mayer was positioned for a breakout in 2023. That is, until Brock Bowers came along. The 13th overall pick is considered one of the best TE prospects in league history, and he immediately walks into the starting job in Sin City. Mayer went into the draft ranked as the dynasty TE14 on DLF, in the neighborhood of Luke Musgrave and Cole Kmet, ahead of Dalton Schultz. His ranking is likely to plummet now that he is the backup to Bowers.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Brian Thomas Jr. Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dynasty | The Jaguars drafted LSU wide receiver Brian Thomas with the 23rd overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Thomas landed in a great spot, being taken late in round one by the Jacksonville Jaguars. A true playmaker, he should have every opportunity to replace Calvin Ridley quickly in the Jaguars offense and is a candidate to be the Offensive Rookie of the Year based on his talent and opportunity. This was a solid development for his value and Thomas should have his spot as a top-6 player in rookie drafts solidified as a result.

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Michael Penix Jr. Apr 25 11:13pm CT
Michael Penix Jr.

Dynasty | Instead of drafting Jones' replacement, the Giants give him his best weapon yet in Malik Nabers. Dynasty Analysis: Seemingly in danger of losing his starting job, Daniel Jones didn't just avoid being replaced; he also got a massive weapons upgrade when WR Malik Nabers was selected sixth overall. The increase in job security �" when the Giants passed on QBs J.J. McCarthy, Michael Penix, and Bo Nix �" was enough to improve upon Jones' QB26 DLF dynasty ranking. But the team invested in their quarterback even further by giving him an elite receiving weapon in Nabers. The job security and the addition of Nabers likely vaults Jones into mid-high QB2 range.

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