RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 6

Fri Oct 15 9:47am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Related photo caption below

Jackson is worth high price tag


Week 6 brings the first round of teams on a bye. While that might limit our options in DFS, there are still some great players to consider for your lineups. Let’s highlight some of them at each position, as well as some players to possibly avoid.

Quarterbacks

Lamar Jackson, BAL vs. LAC ($7,400): Jackson is coming off of a monster performance against the Colts in which he had over 500 total yards and four touchdown passes. He completed 86.0 percent of his passes, leading the Ravens to a comeback win. In addition to his passing prowess, he turned his 14 carries into 62 yards. That marked his third game with at least 10 carries and his fourth with at least 58-rushing yards. Look for him to do plenty of damage in a matchup against a Chargers team that has allowed the most rushing yards per game in the league.

Taylor Heinicke, WAS vs. KC ($5,800): Last week brought a rough outing from Heinicke, who had two interceptions and no touchdown passes. There have been reports that Ryan Fitzpatrick (hip) could return as early as Week 7, so this might be Heinicke’s last game as Washington’s starting quarterback. If it is, he could go out with a bang against a Chiefs team that has allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing quarterbacks.

Player to Avoid

Ryan Tannehill, TEN vs. BUF ($6,400): With injuries limiting his options at wide receiver, Tannehill is off to a slow start. He has thrown one or no touchdown passes four of five games and has thrown for 212 yards or fewer three times. This is not a good matchup for him to get back on track, considering the Bills have nine interceptions and have allowed only five touchdown passes all season.

Running Backs

Austin Ekeler, LAC at BAL ($7,900): Ekeler has been a touchdown machine in the Chargers’ potent offense, recording seven total touchdowns in the early going. His rushing numbers aren’t always great, evident by the fact that he has run for fewer than 67 yards in four of five games. However, he helps to make up for that in the passing game with at least five targets in each of the last four weeks. That’s noteworthy given that the Ravens have allowed 30 receptions to opposing running backs, which is tied for the ninth-most in the league.

Darrel Williams, KC at WAS ($5,000): Not only did the Chiefs fall to the Bills last week, but they lost starting running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire to a knee injury that has since landed him on IR. In his absence, Williams is expected to take on a larger role. He’s shown an ability to be productive when given the opportunity, including rushing 26 times for 130 yards and a touchdown across two playoff games versus the Browns and Bills last season.

Player to Avoid

Josh Jacobs, LV at DEN ($5,900): The Raiders will have a new head coach for this game, which makes things a little more complicated to project. They have options at running back, which can be partly to blame for Jacobs not topping 15 carries in any of the three games in which he has played. His limited workload contributed to him recording fewer than 50-rushing yards all three contests. Up next could be an uphill battle against the Broncos, who have allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game.

Wide Receivers

Terry McLaurin, WAS vs. KC ($7,100): The bad news is that McLaurin only caught four passes for 46 yards last week. The good news is that he received 11 targets, giving him 49 total for the season. Washington should have to throw a lot in this game to keep up with Patrick Mahomes, and with the Chiefs’ defensive struggles already detailed, a juicy stat line could be coming from McLaurin.

Emmanuel Sanders, BUF at TEN ($5,200): The Titans’ secondary has been a weak spot for them in the early going. In fact, they’ve allowed the most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers. That might have many DFS players flocking to Stefon Diggs ($7,200), who is certainly an appealing option. However, if you’d like some exposure to this matchup, but need to save more of your budget, Sanders is also worth a look. He has four touchdowns catches over his last three games and has received at least six targets four of five games.

Player to Avoid

A.J. Brown, TEN vs. BUF ($6,400): In his return from a hamstring injury, Brown caught just three of six targets for 38 yards last week against the Jaguars. It continued a disappointing season in which he hasn’t topped 49-receiving yards in a game yet. With Julio Jones (hamstring) likely to return and the Bills being so adept at defending the pass, Brown might be too risky of an option at his salary.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. LAC ($5,400): Andrews was the main beneficiary of Jackson’s prolific stat line last week. He was targeted 13 times, which he turned into 11 receptions for 147 yards and two touchdowns. He even hauled in a couple of two-point conversions. That marked his second game of the season with at least 100 receiving yards and his third straight game with at least seven targets. His volume, combined with the Chargers allowing the third-most fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends, makes him one of the top options at his position.

Ricky Seals-Jones, WAS vs. KC ($3,000): Logan Thomas rarely comes off the field for Washington. He played all of their offensive snaps in each of the team’s first three games this season. However, he went down with a hamstring injury early in Week 4, which resulted in Seals-Jones playing 91.9 percent of their offensive snaps in that game. With Thomas on IR, Seals-Jones followed that up by playing 98.7 percent of their offensive snaps in Week 5. The end result was him catching five of eight targets for 41 yards. At this cheap salary, his new role could help him provide significant value.

Player to Avoid

Robert Tonyan, GB at CHI ($3,800): Touchdown regression has kicked in with Tonyan. After logging 11 touchdowns despite only receiving 59 targets last season, he only has one score this season on his 17 targets. His salary is starting to come down, but with Seals-Jones having a larger role with his team, and a significantly cheaper salary, there’s no need to take a chance on Tonyan.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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Quinyon Mitchell Apr 25 10:50pm CT
Quinyon Mitchell

The Philadelphia Eagles selected Toledo defensive back Quinyon Mitchell with the 22nd overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft. If there were concerns regarding the talent level that he played against while at Toledo that can be put to rest. The 22-year-old had an outstanding Senior Bowl and had 32 pass breakups over the past two seasons, which led the nation. Mitchell joins a depleted Eagles defense, which allowed the third most points in 2023.

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Dak Prescott Apr 25 10:50pm CT
Dak Prescott

The Dallas Cowboys selected Oklahoma offensive tackle Tyler Guyton with the 29th overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night after they traded down with the Detroit Lions. Guyton is an ascending tackle prospect that could develop into a high-level pass protector of quarterback Dak Prescott with the proper coaching. He plays with great leverage and has great physical traits at 6-foot-8, 322 pounds with 34 1/8-inch arms. There have been injury concerns with the 22-year-old, though, and it remains to be seen if he can develop into a starting-caliber left or right tackle in the NFL. Guyton doesn't have a lot of experience at the tackle position, but he could be competing for Dallas' starting left-tackle job right away in 2024 to replace Tyron Smith.

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Nate Wiggins Apr 25 10:50pm CT
Nate Wiggins

The Baltimore Ravens selected Clemson cornerback Nate Wiggins with the 30th overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. Wiggins is tall, long and fast with rare recovery speed at the cornerback position. "He has better physical talent than Devon Witherspoon, but he doesn't have that same level of dog in him. That's probably the biggest difference right now. I think Wiggins is the better prospect, though," according to an NFC national scout. If Wiggins can play with more decisiveness, he could very well become a Pro Bowler at the next level. The 20-year-old isn't very big (6-foot-1, 173 pounds), though, and he could have trouble wrapping up and stopping the run. Wiggins needs to get bigger and stronger, but early on, his elite speed will cover up some of his weaknesses.

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BJ Ojulari Apr 25 10:40pm CT
BJ Ojulari

The Arizona Cardinals selected Missouri defensive end Darius Robinson with the 27th overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. Robinson was a late bloomer for the Tigers in college and sometimes disappeared from games, but in the end, the pass-rusher was a first-team All-SEC performer as a fifth-year senior in 2023 after recording 8.5 sacks and 14 tackles for loss in 2023. Robinson weighed in at 285 pounds and has long arms and plenty of power to push his way to opposing quarterbacks. He's also serviceable in the run game and will compete for plenty of playing time right away in the desert in 2024 next to Zaven Collins and BJ Ojulari. Robinson is powerful but is going to need to develop his repertoire to have success in the NFL.

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Xavier Worthy Apr 25 10:40pm CT
Xavier Worthy

The Kansas City Chiefs traded up to the No. 28 overall pick with the Buffalo Bills in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night to select Texas wide receiver Xavier Worthy. Worthy posted the fastest recorded 40-yard dash time at the NFL combine in February and doesn't turn 21 years old until Saturday. He's obviously a burner at the receiver position, but he's also tough and had the production to back it with the Longhorns (over 1,000 yards receiving in 2023). The concern with Worthy is his slight frame at 5-foot-11, 165 pounds. Worthy isn't just a pass-catcher, as he can also factor in for the Chiefs as a kick returner on special teams. It remains to be seen exactly how KC will use Worthy on offense in his rookie season, but he'll certainly help with the team's depth at the position with Rashee Rice expected to be handed a multi-game suspension in 2024.

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Laiatu Latu Apr 25 10:30pm CT
Laiatu Latu

With the No. 15 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Colts selected UCLA defensive end Laiatu Latu. There was talk he would go earlier in the night. However, concerns surrounding his neck may have caused him to slide to the middle of the first round. But the Colts took a chance and could benefit by taking a player who totaled 34 sacks in two seasons with the Bruins. At 6'5'', 265 lbs., he may make an impact for IDP managers right out of the gate.

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Dallas Turner Apr 25 10:30pm CT
Dallas Turner

The Minnesota Vikings traded up to the 17th spot with Jacksonville to select Alabama edge rusher Dallas Turner. Turner had an outstanding combine and totaled ten sacks last season. He can disrupt the opponent's run game with a great reaction time. The 21-year-old can also drop into coverage when needed. The Vikings were in the middle of the pack with 43 total sacks, and Turner should help them significantly.

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Jordan Love Apr 25 10:30pm CT
Jordan Love

The Green Bay Packers selected offensive tackle Jordan Morgan from Arizona with the 25th overall selection in the 2024 NFL draft. Morgan started all 37 games at left tackle. He could move to guard if necessary but does possess the skills to make a smooth transition. The Packers added former Pro Bowl running back Josh Jacobs to improve on their 1,905 total rushing yards last season. Adding Morgan will hopefully provide a boost to those numbers and protect Jordan Love's blind side.

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Amik Robertson Apr 25 10:10pm CT
Amik Robertson

The Detroit Lions traded up to the number 24 spot with the Dallas Cowboys to bolster their secondary with Alabama defensive back Terrion Arnold. Arnold intercepted five passes last season and yet he is not afraid to defend the run and initiate contact. The Lions were near the bottom of the pack with 375 total points allowed and total passing yards allowed with 3,846. The Lions saw this need and already began to address it with the free-agent acquisition of Amik Robertson from Las Vegas and the selection of Arnold will improve on the work done in the offseason.

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Brian Thomas Jr. Apr 25 10:00pm CT
Brian Thomas Jr.

The Jacksonville Jaguars wasted no time in replacing Calvin Ridley by selecting LSU wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. with the 23rd overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft. The former Tiger played alongside fellow standout Malik Nabers, but do not overlook his talent. The 21-year-old led the FBS with 17 receiving touchdowns in 2023 and totaled 1,177 receiving yards. Thomas Jr. will be a popular pick in both dynasty and redraft as he should slot in as the number two wide-out behind Christian Kirk and should be a solid option for Trevor Lawrence.

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Najee Harris Apr 25 9:40pm CT
Najee Harris

The Pittsburgh Steelers selected offensive tackle Troy Fautanu with the 20th overall selection of the NFL draft. Fautanu is six feet four inches tall and has long arms, which gives him good balance in pass protection. The 23-year-old started 31 games for Washington, with 29 of them at left tackle and two at left guard. Russel Wilson will get some much-needed blindside protection with this selection. Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren will also benefit from having Fautanu leading the way for them.

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Joe Burrow Apr 25 9:30pm CT
Joe Burrow

The Cincinnati Bengals selected offensive tackle Amarius Mims with the 18th overall pick. Mims, a former Georgia Bulldog, started only eight games at right tackle but was dominant and has quickness and strength to move defenders off the ball. The Bengals allowed 50 total sacks last season, which resulted in their franchise quarterback missing important games down the stretch. Mims will be part of the plan to fix a weakness and protect Joe Burrow.

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Aaron Donald Apr 25 9:30pm CT
Aaron Donald

The Los Angeles Rams are using their first first-round selection in eight years to select defensive end Jared Verse from Florida State. The 23-year-old is one of the most talented edge rushers in the class. He has a great first step and excellent closing speed to get off of blocks. Verse had nine total sacks last season and will be called upon to help the Rams overcome the loss of the now-retired Aaron Donald.

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Jarran Reed Apr 25 9:10pm CT
Jarran Reed

The Seattle Seahawks selected Texas defensive tackle Byron Murphy with the 16th overall pick on Thursday evening. Murphy is credited with being an excellent run defender who can help against strong rushing attacks in the division. The Longhorn is effective when double-teamed and will join Jarran Reed and Jonathan Hankins on the interior.

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Derek Carr Apr 25 9:00pm CT
Derek Carr

With the No. 14 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Saints selected Oregon State offensive tackle Taliese Fuaga. The 22-year-old had a lengthy college career with the Beavers. While he got off to a slow start, he ended his final season by being named an All-American. New Orleans has plenty of areas that need to be addressed, but the line was arguably the team's biggest weakness. Fuaga has a chance to start right away and should help keep Derek Carr vertical more often than he was during the 2023-24 campaign.

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Bo Nix Apr 25 8:50pm CT
Bo Nix

With the No. 12 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Broncos selected Oregon quarterback Bo Nix. The 24-year-old had a lengthy collegiate career, playing at Auburn before ending his career with the Ducks. He appeared in 61 games combined for both teams, throwing for 15,352 yards, 108 touchdowns, and 26 picks. He also found the end zone 38 times using his legs. With Denver recently acquiring Zach Wilson, Nix may sit to begin the 2024-25 campaign. However, no matter when he gets on the field, the Broncos don't have the pieces needed to make him a reliable fantasy quarterback.

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Brock Bowers Apr 25 8:50pm CT
Brock Bowers

With the No. 13 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Raiders selected Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. There was talk the Jets would bring him to New York. However, the team bolstered their offensive line, so the 21-year-old will now head to Las Vegas. The Raiders are getting arguably the top tight end available, considering he amassed 2,538 yards and 26 touchdowns off 175 catches in 40 collegiate games. Bowers also added five touchdowns on the ground. Nonetheless, he'll have a chance to make an immediate impact as a Raider, although concerns at the quarterback position may limit his fantasy upside.

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J.J. McCarthy Apr 25 8:40pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings are trading with the New York Jets from the No. 11 to the No. 10 spot in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Vikings get a 2024 first-round (No. 10) selection and a 2024 sixth-round pick, while the Jets receive a 2024 first-round pick (No. 11), 2024 fourth-round, and 2024 fifth-round pick. With the Vikings unable to deal with the New England Patriots to take Drake Maye, Minnesota selected Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy with the No. 10 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Jets ended up taking Penn State offensive tackle Olu Fashanu.

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Aaron Rodgers Apr 25 8:40pm CT
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After swapping picks with the Vikings, the Jets selected offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu with the No. 11 pick of the 2024 NFL Draft. The 21-year-old had a potent collegiate career with Penn State and was named an All-American in 2023. While there were rumblings the Jets would draft a tight end, the team ultimately decided to protect Aaron Rodgers, who will be entering the 2024-25 campaign coming off a season-ending Achilles injury.

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J.J. McCarthy Apr 25 8:30pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings traded up one spot from 11th to 10th with the New York Jets in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night to select Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy. The Vikings wanted McCarthy all along and ended up not needing to trade into the top five to get their next franchise signal-caller. McCarthy won a national championship with the Wolverines last year but wasn't asked to do a lot with a strong running back behind him. He ran a pro-style offense in college, which should give him a high floor at the next level, and he'll be set up well for future success in Minnesota with a great one-two punch in receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. The talent is there with McCarthy, but he also didn't have the big sample size that the other big-name QB prospects in this draft did. McCarthy won't necessarily start in his rookie year in 2024 with Sam Darnold also in town.

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