RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 3

Sat Sep 24 8:50am ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

Bye weeks have yet to begin in the NFL, and we only have one Monday Night Football game in Week 3. That means we have a ton of options to consider in DFS. Let’s get right down to business and highlight some players to consider for your lineups, as well as a few to possibly avoid.

Quarterbacks

Jalen Hurts, PHI at WAS ($7,600): Hurts isn’t here for his passing prowess. While he did throw for 333 yards against the Vikings in Week 2, he only has one passing touchdown this season. However, he’s done plenty of damage on the ground, totaling 147 yards and three touchdowns through two weeks. With his 28 total rushing attempts in those games, his ability to rack up yards on the ground makes him an extremely appealing option.

Matthew Stafford, LAR at ARI ($6,500): Although the Cardinals pulled off a comeback win over the Raiders on Sunday, they allowed two more touchdowns through the air. That came on the heels of them giving up five passing touchdowns in Week 1. Coming off of a three-touchdown performance against the Falcons, Stafford could be in line for another juicy stat line.

Player to Avoid

Russell Wilson, DEN vs. SF ($6,800): Wilson’s tenure with the Broncos has not started off on the right foot. He only has two passing touchdowns through two games, and he only threw for 219 yards in a narrow victory over the Texans last week. The scary part was that he completed only 14 of 31 pass attempts. The 49ers have allowed a total of 26 points over their first two games, so it’s difficult to justify seeing if Russ can finally cook up a savory stat line in your DFS lineup, when Stafford has a much better matchup, to go along with a cheaper salary,

Running Backs

Dalvin Cook, MIN vs. DET ($7,800): The Vikings were dominated by the Eagles on Monday, playing from behind for much of the game. That resulted in Cook only getting six carries. His role is certainly not in doubt, especially after he turned 20 carries into 90 yards in Week 1. This should be a closer contest against a Lions team that has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards in league, so look for Cook to have a nice bounce back performance.

Jeff Wilson, SF at DEN ($5,300): In the 49ers’ first game with Elijah Mitchell (knee) on IR, Wilson was their lead back. He didn’t disappoint, rushing 18 times for 84 yards and catching both of his targets for an additional 19 yards. Add in Trey Lance (ankle) now being out for the season and the 49ers should run a more traditional style of offense under Jimmy Garoppolo. With Wilson leading their backfield and having such a cheap salary, he has the potential to provide value.

Player to Avoid

AJ Dillon, GB at TB ($5,800): Dillon and Aaron Jones continue to get significant work out of the backfield for the Packers. Dillon had 18 carries for 61 yards last week, while Jones had 15 carries for 132 yards and a touchdown. The problem for Dillon this week is that he not only will have to continue to share work with Jones, but he has a very difficult matchup against the Buccaneers. Last season, the Buccaneers allowed the third-fewest rushing yards per game in the league. They have allowed just 173 rushing yards through two games this season.

Wide Receivers

A.J. Brown, PHI at WAS ($7,300): Brown certainly looks settled in with the Eagles, totaling 15 receptions on 21 targets for 224 yards. This will be another tough test for the Commanders, who allowed Amon-Ra St. Brown to record nine receptions, 116 yards and two touchdowns in Week 2. If you’re rolling with Hurts at quarterback, be sure to pair him with Brown.

Jakobi Meyers, NE vs. BAL ($5,000): There’s very little touchdown upside with Meyers, who has only reached the end zone two times during his career. However, he had 126 targets last season, and he already has 13 receptions on 19 targets this season. If the Patriots fall into an early hole and have to play catchup, Meyers could see enough of a workload to provide value at such a cheap salary.

Player to Avoid

Marquise Brown, ARI vs. LAR ($6,000): It’s been a modest start to the season for Brown, who has 10 catches for 111 yards and a touchdown. He’s still lined up to be the Cardinals’ top wide receiver with DeAndre Hopkins suspended, but that might not actually be a good thing this week. He could be shadowed by Jalen Ramsey, who is one of the top cornerbacks in the league.

Tight Ends

Kyle Pitts, ATL at SEA ($4,800): Talk about a disappointing start. Pitts hasn’t been overly involved in the Falcons’ offense, catching four passes for 38 yards. The odd thing is that he only has 10 targets through two games. Having Marcus Mariota as his quarterback will likely prevent Pitts from living up to his full potential this season. However, he still has the talent to be worth taking a chance on against the rebuilding Seahawks, who have allowed 123 yards and a touchdown to tight ends through two weeks.

Tyler Higbee, LAR at ARI ($4,300): It’s quickly become apparent that the Rams are going to rely heavily on Higbee this season. He had 11 targets in Week 1, then followed that up with nine more targets last week. In total, he has 12 catches for 110 yards. Adding him and Stafford to your entry creates plenty of upside, while neither player’s salary will destroy your budget.

Player to Avoid

Taysom Hill, NO at CAR ($4,300): No longer needed at quarterback, Hill is basically a gadget player for the Saints. He showed his upside in Week 1, rushing four times for 81 yards and a touchdown. However, he played just six offensive snaps in Week 2, rushing three times for 14 yards. Higbee has the same salary and a much more stable role with the Rams, so taking a chance on Hill this week isn’t necessary.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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Player Notes
Brian Thomas Jr. Apr 25 10:00pm CT
Brian Thomas Jr.

The Jacksonville Jaguars wasted no time in replacing Calvin Ridley by selecting LSU wide receiver Brian Thomas Jr. with the 23rd overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft. The former Tiger played alongside fellow standout Malik Nabers, but do not overlook his talent. The 21-year-old led the FBS with 17 receiving touchdowns in 2023 and totaled 1,177 receiving yards. Thomas Jr. will be a popular pick in both dynasty and redraft as he should slot in as the number two wide-out behind Christian Kirk and should be a solid option for Trevor Lawrence.

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Christian Wilkins Apr 25 9:50pm CT
Christian Wilkins

The Miami Dolphins selected Penn State edge rusher Chop Robinson 21st overall in the 2024 NFL draft. After losing Christian Wilkins, Jerome Baker, and Xavien Howard in free agency, to name a few, the Dolphins bolstered their defense with the addition of Robinson. The 21-year-old totaled four sacks and 15 total tackles last season. He had the second-fastest 40-yard dash at the combine for edge rushers and should provide both speed and explosiveness for Miami.

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Najee Harris Apr 25 9:40pm CT
Najee Harris

The Pittsburgh Steelers selected offensive tackle Troy Fautanu with the 20th overall selection of the NFL draft. Fautanu is six feet four inches tall and has long arms, which gives him good balance in pass protection. The 23-year-old started 31 games for Washington, with 29 of them at left tackle and two at left guard. Russel Wilson will get some much-needed blindside protection with this selection. Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren will also benefit from having Fautanu leading the way for them.

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Joe Burrow Apr 25 9:30pm CT
Joe Burrow

The Cincinnati Bengals selected offensive tackle Amarius Mims with the 18th overall pick. Mims, a former Georgia Bulldog, started only eight games at right tackle but was dominant and has quickness and strength to move defenders off the ball. The Bengals allowed 50 total sacks last season, which resulted in their franchise quarterback missing important games down the stretch. Mims will be part of the plan to fix a weakness and protect Joe Burrow.

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Aaron Donald Apr 25 9:30pm CT
Aaron Donald

The Los Angeles Rams are using their first first-round selection in eight years to select defensive end Jared Verse from Florida State. The 23-year-old is one of the most talented edge rushers in the class. He has a great first step and excellent closing speed to get off of blocks. Verse had nine total sacks last season and will be called upon to help the Rams overcome the loss of the now-retired Aaron Donald.

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Jarran Reed Apr 25 9:10pm CT
Jarran Reed

The Seattle Seahawks selected Texas defensive tackle Byron Murphy with the 16th overall pick on Thursday evening. Murphy is credited with being an excellent run defender who can help against strong rushing attacks in the division. The Longhorn is effective when double-teamed and will join Jarran Reed and Jonathan Hankins on the interior.

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Derek Carr Apr 25 9:00pm CT
Derek Carr

With the No. 14 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Saints selected Oregon State offensive tackle Taliese Fuaga. The 22-year-old had a lengthy college career with the Beavers. While he got off to a slow start, he ended his final season by being named an All-American. New Orleans has plenty of areas that need to be addressed, but the line was arguably the team's biggest weakness. Fuaga has a chance to start right away and should help keep Derek Carr vertical more often than he was during the 2023-24 campaign.

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Bo Nix Apr 25 8:50pm CT
Bo Nix

With the No. 12 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Broncos selected Oregon quarterback Bo Nix. The 24-year-old had a lengthy collegiate career, playing at Auburn before ending his career with the Ducks. He appeared in 61 games combined for both teams, throwing for 15,352 yards, 108 touchdowns, and 26 picks. He also found the end zone 38 times using his legs. With Denver recently acquiring Zach Wilson, Nix may sit to begin the 2024-25 campaign. However, no matter when he gets on the field, the Broncos don't have the pieces needed to make him a reliable fantasy quarterback.

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Brock Bowers Apr 25 8:50pm CT
Brock Bowers

With the No. 13 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, the Raiders selected Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. There was talk the Jets would bring him to New York. However, the team bolstered their offensive line, so the 21-year-old will now head to Las Vegas. The Raiders are getting arguably the top tight end available, considering he amassed 2,538 yards and 26 touchdowns off 175 catches in 40 collegiate games. Bowers also added five touchdowns on the ground. Nonetheless, he'll have a chance to make an immediate impact as a Raider, although concerns at the quarterback position may limit his fantasy upside.

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J.J. McCarthy Apr 25 8:40pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings are trading with the New York Jets from the No. 11 to the No. 10 spot in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Vikings get a 2024 first-round (No. 10) selection and a 2024 sixth-round pick, while the Jets receive a 2024 first-round pick (No. 11), 2024 fourth-round, and 2024 fifth-round pick. With the Vikings unable to deal with the New England Patriots to take Drake Maye, Minnesota selected Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy with the No. 10 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The Jets ended up taking Penn State offensive tackle Olu Fashanu.

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Aaron Rodgers Apr 25 8:40pm CT
Aaron Rodgers

After swapping picks with the Vikings, the Jets selected offensive tackle Olumuyiwa Fashanu with the No. 11 pick of the 2024 NFL Draft. The 21-year-old had a potent collegiate career with Penn State and was named an All-American in 2023. While there were rumblings the Jets would draft a tight end, the team ultimately decided to protect Aaron Rodgers, who will be entering the 2024-25 campaign coming off a season-ending Achilles injury.

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J.J. McCarthy Apr 25 8:30pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings traded up one spot from 11th to 10th with the New York Jets in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night to select Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy. The Vikings wanted McCarthy all along and ended up not needing to trade into the top five to get their next franchise signal-caller. McCarthy won a national championship with the Wolverines last year but wasn't asked to do a lot with a strong running back behind him. He ran a pro-style offense in college, which should give him a high floor at the next level, and he'll be set up well for future success in Minnesota with a great one-two punch in receivers Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison. The talent is there with McCarthy, but he also didn't have the big sample size that the other big-name QB prospects in this draft did. McCarthy won't necessarily start in his rookie year in 2024 with Sam Darnold also in town.

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Michael Penix Jr. Apr 25 8:20pm CT
Michael Penix Jr.

The Atlanta Falcons selected Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. This is the first real surprise of this year's draft after the Falcons signed quarterback Kirk Cousins this offseason. Injuries are the main concern for Penix, but besides that, he showed plenty of long-term upside in his two seasons with the Huskies, culminating in a national championship appearance earlier this year. The 23-year-old lefty will obviously enter his first season in the NFL as a clear backup in Atlanta, but this pick will give the Falcons insurance with Cousins returning from a torn Achilles in 2023. This selection will be debated for a while, especially given all of Atlanta's needs on defense.

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Rome Odunze Apr 25 8:20pm CT
Rome Odunze

The Chicago Bears selected Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze with the ninth overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. Thats back-to-back picks out of Washington after quarterback Michael Penix Jr. surprisingly went eighth overall to the Atlanta Falcons. Odunze led the country in receiving yards in 2023 and is a special talent. He has length and excels at contested catches down the field. It helped that he had an excellent passer to throw him the football in Penix, but this kid is still special and should have an excellent career. The Bears have now added QB Caleb Williams and Odunze with their first two picks this year. While Odunze has plenty to like in the long-term, he'll be hard-pressed to make a huge impact in his rookie season in 2024 with DJ Moore and Keenan Allen set to be target hogs in this Bears offense.

From RotoBaller

Will Levis Apr 25 8:10pm CT
Will Levis

The Tennessee Titans selected Alabama offensive tackle JC Latham with the seventh overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. The Titans were hoping that Notre Dame offensive tackle Joe Alt, the consensus No. 1 offensive lineman in this class, would fall to them at No. 7, but that didn't happen -- he went to the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5. Latham is a solid fallback option, though, and should immediately boost the protection for young quarterback Will Levis in Tennessee. The 21-year-old is a mauler at right tackle and short start immediately in his rookie season in the NFL in 2024. He weighed in at 342 pounds, so he's a mountain of a man with long arms and huge hands. This pick is great news for Levis and running backs Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears.

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Justin Herbert Apr 25 8:00pm CT
Justin Herbert

The Los Angeles Chargers selected Notre Dame offensive tackle Joe Alt with the fifth overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. Under new head coach Jim Harbaugh and offensive coordinator Greg Roman, the Chargers are unsurprisingly trying to build up their offensive line to help protect their ground game and quarterback Justin Herbert. Alt was the consensus best offensive-line prospect in this year's draft and should be a starter in LA from Day 1 in 2024 at right tackle across from Rashawn Slater on the left side. He stands at 6-foot-8 1/2 and 320 pounds and uses his size and strength to his advantage to climb to the second level. Despite his towering size, he's quick and nasty in the trenches. Not only will Alt help keep Herbert clean in the pocket, but he should be an asset in the run game, too.

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Malik Nabers Apr 25 8:00pm CT
Malik Nabers

The New York Giants selected LSU wide receiver Malik Nabers with the sixth overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. There was plenty of noise in the days leading up to the draft that the G-Men wanted to trade up to draft either North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye or Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy, but that ended up being a smokescreen despite the questions about Daniel Jones as he comes off a torn ACL. Nabers is one of the fastest and most explosive receivers in a stacked class at the position and will give Jones an elite offensive weapon as he looks to bounce back in 2024. He should become New York's immediate No. 1 wideout among a group that includes Wan'Dale Robinson, Jalin Hyatt and Darius Slayton. Nabers will make the Giants more explosive immediately, but can Jones get him the ball consistently behind a shaky offensive line?

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Marvin Harrison Jr. Apr 25 7:50pm CT
Marvin Harrison Jr.

The Arizona Cardinals selected Ohio State wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. with the fourth overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. With no other team trading up with the Cardinals to make it four straight quarterbacks in a row to start this year's draft, the Cardinals will give QB Kyler Murray a big-time new receiving weapon in Harrison. It makes sense after the team lost Marquise Brown this offseason. Harrison is an absolute stud at the position and should immediately be Arizona's best wideout in his rookie year alongside names like Michael Wilson, Greg Dortch and Chris Moore. Harrison was a unanimous two-time All-American and scored 28 total touchdowns the last two years. He's bigger than his father and has incredible body control. Harrison should be fantasy relevant in Year 1 while being peppered with targets by Murray.

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Drake Maye Apr 25 7:40pm CT
Drake Maye

The New England Patriots selected North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye with the third overall pick of the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. The Patriots will open the Jerod Mayo era with a new franchise QB in Maye after the team traded former first-rounder Mac Jones to the Jaguars this offseason. The 21-year-old has prototypical size at 6-foot-4, 223 pounds, plenty of arm strength and the intangibles that coaches like. However, he's much more of a project than Caleb Williams and Jayden Daniels, and may need to sit for a year behind Jacoby Brisset and Bailey Zappe before New England is comfortable naming him the unquestioned starter under center. Long-term, though, Maye has the talent to be a great QB in the NFL. The problem in New England, though, is that they're lacking in offensive weapons around him right now.

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Caleb Williams Apr 25 7:30pm CT
Caleb Williams

The Chicago Bears selected USC quarterback Caleb Williams with the first overall pick, as expected, in the 2024 NFL draft on Thursday night. Last year's draft trade with the Carolina Panthers allowed Chicago to move to the No. 1 spot this year. Williams was the favorite to be the No. 1 overall pick to the Bears for the entire pre-draft process, and it became more apparent when they dealt Justin Fields to the Pittsburgh Steelers a month ago. Not only is the 22-year-old the safest QB prospect in this year's class, but he's entering a situation in Chicago that should be conducive to immediate success in real life and in fantasy. The 2022 Heisman Trophy winner will be the clear top pick in rookie-only fantasy drafts this fall and should be in play in two-QB leagues in 2024 as well.

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