RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 4

Sat Oct 1 6:20pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

There are a few marquee matchups on the schedule for Week 4, including when the Ravens host the Bills. Another game that stands out amongst the crowd is the Buccaneers hosting the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. As we dig into the DFS slate on RealTime Fantasy Sports, here are some players to consider for your lineups, as well as a few to possibly avoid.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen, BUF at BAL ($8,400): Allen produced another stellar stat line in Week 3, finishing with 400 passing yards, two touchdowns and 47 rushing yards. He hasn’t thrown for fewer than 297 yards in any of his first three games, totaling nine touchdown passes along the way. A monster stat line could be coming against a Ravens team that has allowed the most passing yards per game in the league.

Cooper Rush, DAL vs. WAS ($5,300): The Commanders haven’t been as bad as the Ravens, but they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game. This could be an opportune time to take a chance on Rush, who has filled in admirably for Dak Prescott (thumb). He hasn’t thrown an interception, while combining for 450 passing yards and two touchdowns in two games as a starter.

Player to Avoid

Carson Wentz, WAS at DAL ($6,000): The Cowboys have as good of a pass rush as any team in the league. Their ability to apply pressure on the opposing quarterback has contributed to them allowing the fourth-fewest passing yards per game. Coming off of a dreadful performance in Week 3 in which Wentz threw for 211 yards and no touchdowns against the Eagles, another underwhelming stat line could be coming.

Running Backs

Nick Chubb, CLE at ATL ($7,900): It’s no secret that the Browns want to run the ball early and often. Still, teams can’t stop Chubb. He steamrolled the Steelers in Week 3, rushing for 113 yards and a touchdown. Through three games, he has 62 carries for 341 yards and four scores. With his heavy workload, he has among the highest floors of any running back for this slate.

Dameon Pierce, HOU vs. LAC ($5,600): Working our way further down the salary scale, Pierce isn’t someone to overlook. After an impressive preseason, the Texans have been increasing his workload as the season has moved along. He topped out with 20 carries last week against the Bears, finishing with 80 rushing yards and a touchdown. He also caught both of his targets for an additional 21 yards. As the Texans try to keep the ball out of Justin Herbert’s hands, they could rely heavily on Pierce in this matchup. 

Player to Avoid

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC at TB ($6,200): The Buccaneers had one of the best run defenses in the league last season, and that’s carried over into this year with them allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game in the league. I want no part of Edwards-Helaire, who finished with zero rushing yards on his seven carries in Week 3. He hasn’t had more than eight carries in any of the Chiefs’ first three games.

Wide Receivers

CeeDee Lamb, DAL vs. WAS ($6,700): The absence of Prescott has not had a negative impact on Lamb. He recorded seven catches for 75 yards in Week 2, then followed that up with eight receptions for 87 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. What makes him so appealing in DFS is that he’s received at least 11 targets in all three games. If you take a chance on Rush at quarterback, be sure to pair him with Lamb. Even if you don’t deploy Rush, Lamb is an excellent option.

Richie James, NYG vs. CHI ($4,000): It’s falling apart at wide receiver for the Giants. Sterling Shepard tore his ACL against the Cowboys, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Kadarius Toney (hamstring) and Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) were unable to play in Week 3, and might remain sidelined for at least another game. Finally, Kenny Golladay looks washed up. If Toney and Robinson are out again, we could see plenty of James, who has already received at least five targets in each of the Giants first three games. 

Player to Avoid

Dionte Johnson, PIT vs. NYJ ($6,000): Having Mitch Trubisky as his quarterback isn’t doing any favors for Johnson. He still doesn’t have a touchdown catch, and he’s finished with fewer than 60 receiving yards in two of his first three games. With the expectation that Trubisky continues to struggle, Johnson’s upside will remain limited.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. BUF ($7,100): It’s not difficult to make a case for deploying Andrews in DFS. He’s stormed out of the gate with 22 receptions, 245 yards and three touchdowns through three games. The Ravens have given him at least 11 targets in back-to-back games, and will likely continue to rely heavily on him in Week 4 as they try to keep pace with Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense.

David Njoku, CLE at ATL ($3,700): After two quiet performances to begin the season, Njoku bounced back in Week 3 to catch nine of 10 targets for 89 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. He’s received five red zone targets through three games, and should continue to be a favorite for Jacoby Brissett when the Browns do decide to throw it in close. At such a cheap salary, Njoku is a viable option in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

George Kittle, LAR vs. SF ($5,300): After a groin injury kept Kittle sidelined through the first two games, he finally made his season debut last week against the Broncos. He didn’t do much, catching four of five targets for 28 yards. Kittle can explode any given week, but he also had seven games last season in which he finished with 40 or fewer receiving yards. Facing a talented Rams defense makes Kittle a risky option.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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Player Notes
Chuba Hubbard Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty | The Panthers traded up in the second round to select Texas running back Jonathon Brooks. Dynasty Analysis: It's a good landing spot for Brooks, who looks like a player who has a skillset of a premier running back in the NFL. He'll need to get healthy and return from a late season ACL tear but the Panthers are likely playing the long game here. With Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders not doing much to impress, it's hard to see Brooks not grabbing the top spot on the depth chart as soon as his knee will cooperate. Dynasty managers are also going to need to exhibit some patience here with Brooks as well but he still looks like a late first round rookie pick.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Chuba Hubbard Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Chuba Hubbard

Dynasty | With the early selection of RB Jonathon Brooks (in a trade up, no less), the Panthers seem to have consolidated their backfield. Dynasty Analysis: Both Miles Sanders and Chuba Hubbard will have a little more time in the sun as Brooks rehabs his torn ACL and gets back into playing shape. But make no mistake, the move to draft Brooks signals an intention in Carolina to feature him in the running game. Sanders will be in the most peril, considering his cap hit, but both backs could be cap casualties and, in the meantime, will serve as backups to Brooks once he is healthy.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Anthony Richardson Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Anthony Richardson

Dynasty | The Colts drafted wide receiver Adonai Mitchell with the 52nd overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Mitchell lasted a little longer than most expected but landed on his feet when he was taken by the Colts with the 52nd overall pick. He'll compete with players like Josh Downs and Alec Pierce for targets behind Michael Pittman. Ultimately, his dynasty value is going to hinge on the health and development of quarterback Anthony Richardson. His fall, along with some uncertainty about his place in the offense is likely going to push him down into round two of most rookie drafts.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Jonathan Taylor Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Jonathan Taylor

Dynasty | The second round selection of WR Adonai Mitchell gives the Colts' franchise QB yet another explosive weapon. Dynasty Analysis: In a drastically shortened rookie campaign, Richardson gave dynasty players a tantalizing glimpse of his playmaking abilities. His obvious strength was in the running game, but after several injuries and an early end to his season, the goal will be to keep him in the pocket and help him get comfortable standing tall and throwing downfield. Adding Mitchell to an already stocked supporting cast of WRs Michael Pittman and Josh Downs, as well as RB Jonathan Taylor, should give Richardson all the weaponry he needs to outperform his QB8 dynasty ranking and join the top three conversation.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Ben Sinnott Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Ben Sinnott

Dynasty | Kansas State tight end Ben Sinnott was taken in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Washington Commanders. Dynasty Analysis: Sinnott was surprisingly taken in the second round of the NFL Draft by the tight end-needy Washington Commanders. It's a surprising development as most thought Sinnott wasn't going to be taken until day three. The draft capital used combined with the fact he was the sercond tight end taken overall is going to vault Sinnott up rookie draft boards. While he could be taken a little too highly, Washington was a premier draft spot for a tight end and that can't be ignored.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Aaron Rodgers Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Aaron Rodgers

Dynasty | The New York Jets drafted Western Kentucky wide receiver Malachi Corley early in the third round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: He should slot in nicely behind Garrett Wilson and Mike Williams and be allowed to come along rather slowly. Corley is a bit of a project but his ceiling is tantalizing. Aaron Rodgers has been notoriously tough on rookie receivers, so some patience may need to be used here. However, Corley still looks like a pretty solid pick in the late second or early third round of a rookie draft. He's a small school prospect but has some pretty impressive tape out there so he could be a steal in the end.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

James Conner Apr 26 11:13pm CT
James Conner

Dynasty | The Arizona Cardinals drafted Florida State running back Trey Benson in the third round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Benson was snapped up with the 66th overall selection. It's a solid landing spot for the former Seminole who will presumably pair with James Conner in a new-look backfield in the desert in the short-term. However, Conner's injury history and age is going to likely pave a quick path to a true starting job for Benson sooner rather than later. While he may not reach his potential for a year or two, Benson looks like a very solid pick right around the round 1/2 turn in rookie drafts.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

James Conner Apr 26 11:13pm CT
James Conner

Dynasty | With the early third round selection of RB Trey Benson, the Cardinals prepare for life after James Conner. Dynasty Analysis: Benson was widely regarded as a top two RB in the rookie class, and could prove to be a steal in the third round. But it isn't the type of draft capital that commands an immediate workload. Dynasty managers can expect a dip in Conner's dynasty value long-term; a dip that was coming for the 28 year-old anyways. But the short term value should get a bump as Conner takes on a full workload with Benson's fresh legs waiting patiently until the wheels fall off for Conner.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Joe Burrow Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Joe Burrow

Dynasty | The Bengals drafted Alabama wide receiver Jermaine Burton in the third round of the NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Burton was a surprise pick of the Bengals at #80 overall. While he's currently buried on the depth chart, there's a chance he can grow into real relevance if Tee Higgins eventually gets moved. Burton is a project but one with a pretty solid landing spot as he's now paired with Joe Burrow. Alabama receivers obviously have a solid track record in the NFL and Burton was once a highly though of prospect. Perhaps we have a diamond in the rough here with a late round rookie pick.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Blake Corum Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Blake Corum

Dynasty | The Los Angeles Rams drafted Michigan running back Blake Corum in the third round of the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Corum was drafted by the Los Angeles Rams in the third round of the NFL Draft. Never afraid to take a shot on a runner, Sean McVay has struck again, this time with the uber-productive Corum. Unfortunately, the Rams also have a very talented player in Kyren Williams at the top of the depth chart. Corum is going to be difficult to value in rookie drafts this Spring because he could be one injury away from major value or spend a long time on the bench watching Williams. In the end, he's likely going to be a short-yardage player who is a serious thorn in the side of Williams managers. Corum projects as a likely late second or early third rounder in rookie drafts.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Roman Wilson Apr 26 11:13pm CT
Roman Wilson

Dynasty | The Pittsburgh Steelers drafted Michigan wide receiver Roman Wilson in round three of the NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Now this is interesting. Somehow the 14th wide receiver taken overall, Wilson still has some tantalizing upside. Pittsburgh has historically done very well with receivers taken in the middle rounds and he fits the mold of a player with upside who could blossom in the right environment. With George Pickens the only real certainty on the depth chart, Wilson makes for a solid "high ceiling and low floor" type of rookie pick in the middle rounds of a rookie draft.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

AJ Dillon Apr 26 11:13pm CT
AJ Dillon

Dynasty | The Green Bay Packers drafted USC running back Marshawn Lloyd with the 88th overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. Dynasty Analysis: Lloyd was taken in the third round by the Green Bay Packers, a bit of a surprise pick considering the fact they added Josh Jacobs this off-season and re-signed AJ Dillon as well. Lloyd is a developmental prospect with a lot of tread on his tires but this wasn't the best landing spot for his dynasty value. His rookie ADP is going to fall a bit post-draft and he looks like a third or fourth round rookie pick as a result.

From Dynasty League Fantasy

Brandon Aiyuk Apr 26 11:00pm CT
Brandon Aiyuk

After plenty of trade rumors swirling around wide receivers Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk leading up to this year's draft, the San Francisco 49ers have not dealt either of them through the first three rounds. "We didn't entertain any of that today. We're happy with our wide receiver group. Actually, more than happy. We're thrilled with it. And thrilled to add Ricky to it to make it stronger," general manager John Lynch said. The Niners have definitely been listening to trade offers for both wideouts, but apparently they just haven't been able to work anything out. Aiyuk is looking for a new long-term deal as he heads into the final year of his rookie deal, while Samuel is set to count over $20 million against the salary cap next year. Something's got to give. Now that we're onto Day 3 of the 2024 NFL draft, it's more likely than not that both Aiyuk and Samuel will stick around for the 2024 season.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Daniels Apr 26 10:40pm CT
Jayden Daniels

The Washington Commanders have selected Rice University wide receiver Luke McCaffrey with the 100th overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft. The pick marked the end of Round 3 and Day 2 of the draft. McCaffrey is a converted quarterback who transferred from Nebraska to Rice during the middle of his collegiate career. He truly broke out during his final season with the Owls, catching 71 passes for 992 yards and 13 touchdowns. He also rushed for an additional 117 yards on the ground. The brother of 49ers star Christian McCaffrey and son of three-time Super Bowl champion Ed McCaffrey, Luke demonstrated extreme leadership, football IQ, physicality, athleticism, and route running skills at Rice. He excelled in contested catch scenarios and should be a very reliable weapon for the Commanders and new quarterback Jayden Daniels. He figures to enter training camp as Washington's No. 3 wide receiver behind Terry McLaurin and Jahan Dotson.

From RotoBaller

Jalen McMillan Apr 26 10:10pm CT
Jalen McMillan

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers selected Washington wide receiver Jalen McMillan with the 92nd overall pick in the NFL draft. McMillan totaled 559 yards on 45 catches with five scores in 11 games last season. He plays mostly from the slot and did have a nagging knee injury that limited his catches considerably compared to 2022, where he caught 79 passes. The 22-year-old does well in changing speeds in a route to put defensive backs on their heels. McMillan joins a veteran-led wide receiver room with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. McMillan should be in contention to serve as the number three option with Trey Palmer, who Tampa selected last season. McMillan should be a popular pick in rookie drafts and could carve out a role in redraft as well.

From RotoBaller

MarShawn Lloyd Apr 26 10:00pm CT
MarShawn Lloyd

The Green Bay Packers selected USC running back MarShawn Lloyd with the 88th pick in the NFL draft. Lloyd is credited for having great acceleration and the ability to bounce outside the tackles. He averaged over seven yards per carry last season, which showcases his big-play ability. The 23-year-old ran for 820 yards and nine scores last season. Lloyd joins a running back room that just welcomed Josh Jacobs, which will limit his fantasy value early on, but he could grow into a part-time contributor over the course of his rookie season.

From RotoBaller

J.J. McCarthy Apr 26 9:50pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Pittsburgh Steelers have selected University of Michigan wide receiver Roman Wilson with the No. 84 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The 22-year-old was one of J.J. McCarthy's favorite targets on the national champion Wolverines. He caught 49 passes for 789 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2023, showcasing his speed, hands, and route running skills on a national stage. The Steelers have been looking for wide receiver help ever since trading Diontae Johnson to the Carolina Panthers. Wilson could immediately slot into the Steelers' No. 2 wide receiver role alongside George Pickens, giving him appeal in both redraft and dynasty leagues.

From RotoBaller

Tip Reiman Apr 26 9:50pm CT
Tip Reiman

The Cardinals selected University of Illinois tight end Tip Reiman with the No. 82 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. He played four years at Illinois, totaling 420 yards and five touchdowns off 41 catches. While the 22-year-old has plenty of positive attributes, he wasn't as productive at the collegiate level as others in his class. With that said, Reiman will have a chance to carve out playing time in Arizona, a team in a transition phase. However, he'll need to compete for snaps with Trey McBride, one of the league's emerging tight ends.

From RotoBaller

Joe Burrow Apr 26 9:40pm CT
Joe Burrow

The Bengals selected Alabama wide receiver Jermaine Burton with the No. 80 pick in the 2024 NFL draft. The 22-year-old began his collegiate career at Georgia. However, he played at Alabama in the last two seasons. During his time with the Crimson Tide, he totaled 79 catches for 1,479 yards and 15 touchdowns. He also averaged 20.5 yards per catch as a senior. It will be tough for anyone to get consistently involved offensively with Ja'Marr Chase and potentially Tee Higgins in the equation. However, If Burton gets snaps, he could flourish catching passes from Joe Burrow, one of the best quarterbacks in the National Football League.

From RotoBaller

Blake Corum Apr 26 9:40pm CT
Blake Corum

The Los Angeles Rams have selected University of Michigan running back Blake Corum with the No. 83 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft. The national champion is the third running back off the board following Texas' Jonathon Brooks and Florida State's Trey Benson. He totaled 2,905 scrimmage yards and a whopping 47 touchdowns over his last two seasons. He's not a major contributor in the passing game but clearly carves out plenty of work on the ground and near the goal line. Kyren Williams is still Los Angeles' top running back, but Corum should carve out a role and could even have immediate fantasy appeal given his nose for the end zone.

From RotoBaller