RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 4

Sat Oct 1 6:20pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

There are a few marquee matchups on the schedule for Week 4, including when the Ravens host the Bills. Another game that stands out amongst the crowd is the Buccaneers hosting the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. As we dig into the DFS slate on RealTime Fantasy Sports, here are some players to consider for your lineups, as well as a few to possibly avoid.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen, BUF at BAL ($8,400): Allen produced another stellar stat line in Week 3, finishing with 400 passing yards, two touchdowns and 47 rushing yards. He hasn’t thrown for fewer than 297 yards in any of his first three games, totaling nine touchdown passes along the way. A monster stat line could be coming against a Ravens team that has allowed the most passing yards per game in the league.

Cooper Rush, DAL vs. WAS ($5,300): The Commanders haven’t been as bad as the Ravens, but they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game. This could be an opportune time to take a chance on Rush, who has filled in admirably for Dak Prescott (thumb). He hasn’t thrown an interception, while combining for 450 passing yards and two touchdowns in two games as a starter.

Player to Avoid

Carson Wentz, WAS at DAL ($6,000): The Cowboys have as good of a pass rush as any team in the league. Their ability to apply pressure on the opposing quarterback has contributed to them allowing the fourth-fewest passing yards per game. Coming off of a dreadful performance in Week 3 in which Wentz threw for 211 yards and no touchdowns against the Eagles, another underwhelming stat line could be coming.

Running Backs

Nick Chubb, CLE at ATL ($7,900): It’s no secret that the Browns want to run the ball early and often. Still, teams can’t stop Chubb. He steamrolled the Steelers in Week 3, rushing for 113 yards and a touchdown. Through three games, he has 62 carries for 341 yards and four scores. With his heavy workload, he has among the highest floors of any running back for this slate.

Dameon Pierce, HOU vs. LAC ($5,600): Working our way further down the salary scale, Pierce isn’t someone to overlook. After an impressive preseason, the Texans have been increasing his workload as the season has moved along. He topped out with 20 carries last week against the Bears, finishing with 80 rushing yards and a touchdown. He also caught both of his targets for an additional 21 yards. As the Texans try to keep the ball out of Justin Herbert’s hands, they could rely heavily on Pierce in this matchup. 

Player to Avoid

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC at TB ($6,200): The Buccaneers had one of the best run defenses in the league last season, and that’s carried over into this year with them allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game in the league. I want no part of Edwards-Helaire, who finished with zero rushing yards on his seven carries in Week 3. He hasn’t had more than eight carries in any of the Chiefs’ first three games.

Wide Receivers

CeeDee Lamb, DAL vs. WAS ($6,700): The absence of Prescott has not had a negative impact on Lamb. He recorded seven catches for 75 yards in Week 2, then followed that up with eight receptions for 87 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. What makes him so appealing in DFS is that he’s received at least 11 targets in all three games. If you take a chance on Rush at quarterback, be sure to pair him with Lamb. Even if you don’t deploy Rush, Lamb is an excellent option.

Richie James, NYG vs. CHI ($4,000): It’s falling apart at wide receiver for the Giants. Sterling Shepard tore his ACL against the Cowboys, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Kadarius Toney (hamstring) and Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) were unable to play in Week 3, and might remain sidelined for at least another game. Finally, Kenny Golladay looks washed up. If Toney and Robinson are out again, we could see plenty of James, who has already received at least five targets in each of the Giants first three games. 

Player to Avoid

Dionte Johnson, PIT vs. NYJ ($6,000): Having Mitch Trubisky as his quarterback isn’t doing any favors for Johnson. He still doesn’t have a touchdown catch, and he’s finished with fewer than 60 receiving yards in two of his first three games. With the expectation that Trubisky continues to struggle, Johnson’s upside will remain limited.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. BUF ($7,100): It’s not difficult to make a case for deploying Andrews in DFS. He’s stormed out of the gate with 22 receptions, 245 yards and three touchdowns through three games. The Ravens have given him at least 11 targets in back-to-back games, and will likely continue to rely heavily on him in Week 4 as they try to keep pace with Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense.

David Njoku, CLE at ATL ($3,700): After two quiet performances to begin the season, Njoku bounced back in Week 3 to catch nine of 10 targets for 89 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. He’s received five red zone targets through three games, and should continue to be a favorite for Jacoby Brissett when the Browns do decide to throw it in close. At such a cheap salary, Njoku is a viable option in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

George Kittle, LAR vs. SF ($5,300): After a groin injury kept Kittle sidelined through the first two games, he finally made his season debut last week against the Broncos. He didn’t do much, catching four of five targets for 28 yards. Kittle can explode any given week, but he also had seven games last season in which he finished with 40 or fewer receiving yards. Facing a talented Rams defense makes Kittle a risky option.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

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Xavier Worthy Apr 25 6:40pm ET
Xavier Worthy

The Kansas City Chiefs have really been working to see if they can move up from No. 32 in the first round of Thursday night's NFL draft. The belief around the league is that the Chiefs moving up from No. 32 would be for one of the speed wide receivers in this talented draft class at the position. It makes sense given the fact that the Chiefs are expecting second-year wideout Rashee Rice to be suspended for multiple games in 2024 after his involvement in a car accident that involved injuries. Even with Rice in the fold, KC has the need to bolster their receiving corps behind Rice and aging tight end Travis Kelce. If the Chiefs do pull off a trade up in the latter portion of the first round, they could be targeting Texas receiver Xavier Worthy.

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Trevor Lawrence Apr 25 6:30pm ET
Trevor Lawrence

The Jacksonville Jaguars are calling around in an effort to move up in the first round of Thursday's NFL draft, and teams taking their calls believe they are on the hunt for a specific pass-catcher, according to a source. Even though the Jaguars signed wideout Gabe Davis in free agency this offseason, it appears the Jags are looking to make a splash early in the first round this year for another weapon for quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Jacksonville currently holds the No. 17 overall pick. If they were to trade into the top 10, players such as Washington receiver Rome Odunze, LSU receiver Malik Nabers, and Georgia tight end Brock Bowers could all be options as they look for extra pass-catchers after they lost Calvin Ridley in free agency. Stay tuned.

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Drake Maye Apr 25 6:20pm ET
Drake Maye

ESPN's Jeff Darlington reports that the Minnesota Vikings are very tense with the first round of the 2024 NFL draft just hours away from starting on Thursday night as they look to trade up to No. 3 with the New England Patriots in an effort to take a quarterback of the future. The Vikings currently sit at the No. 11 pick and were unable to re-sign quarterback Kirk Cousins in the offseason. The player that has fascinated them throughout the pre-draft process has been North Carolina QB Drake Maye, but there is serious competition for the No. 3 pick, including the Patriots themselves. If Minnesota can't get Maye at No. 3, they'd likely need to jump the Giants at No. 6 in order to get Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy. If they whiff on Maye and McCarthy, Washington's Michael Penix Jr. could be the fallback option for the Vikes.

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Brandon Aiyuk Apr 25 5:20pm ET
Brandon Aiyuk

The San Francisco 49ers have been in trade rumors regarding star wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk all offseason, but NFL insider Dianna Russini of The Athletic reports the team has also talked with teams about trading fellow star wideout Deebo Samuel. Russini said one of the teams the 49ers have talked with currently holds a top-10 pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, so a blockbuster deal could be in the works. Aiyuk is reportedly asking for more money than the 49ers are willing to give him, while Samuel has been in the trade rumor circles for multiple seasons. With high-priced assets like George Kittle, Christian McCaffrey, Nick Bosa, and Fred Warner on the roster, the organization will have to make moves in order to re-sign quarterback Brock Purdy in the near future. If one of the wideouts is traded, they should retain plenty of fantasy value with their new team.

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Jim Harbaugh Apr 25 5:10pm ET
Jim Harbaugh

Alabama offensive tackle JC Latham has seemingly been a rising prospect as the 2024 NFL draft approaches, and NFL draft expert Todd McShay suggested he could be the first offensive lineman off the board on Thursday. Notre Dame offensive tackle Joe Alt has been the popular choice to take that honor, but McShay believes the Los Angeles Chargers could draft Latham over Alt with the No. 5 overall pick. Latham played right tackle for the Crimson Tide, making him a perfect fit on the other side of stud left tackle Rashawn Slater. Los Angeles has been one of the trickiest teams to predict during this draft cycle, and new head coach Jim Harbaugh could choose to go an unconventional route.

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Anthony Richardson Apr 25 5:00pm ET
Anthony Richardson

The Indianapolis Colts hold the No. 15 overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft, and Bleacher Report's Jordan Schultz reports the team has done a ton of pre-draft work on the wide receiver position, and they are interested in Georgia tight end Brock Bowers. The organization is likely trying to surround quarterback Anthony Richardson with as much pass-catching talent as possible, so upgrading his pass-catchers behind Michael Pittman Jr. makes sense. Youngsters Alec Pierce and Josh Downs have shown flashes of upside, but they are far from stud wideouts based on their early-career results. The Colts might be able to land LSU wideout Brian Thomas Jr. with the No. 15 selection, but they could also look to trade up for Marvin Harrison Jr., Malik Nabers, or Rome Odunze. Additionally, the team has not had a tight end reach the 400-yard mark since 2019, so the upside of Bowers could be intriguing.

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Caleb Williams Apr 25 4:50pm ET
Caleb Williams

The Chicago Bears are expected to select USC quarterback Caleb Williams with the first overall pick in the 2024 NFL draft, but they are willing to trade down from the No. 9 overall selection, according to Dianna Russini of The Athletic. Chicago only has four total picks in this year's draft, so moving down to acquire more selections makes plenty of sense. The team has been linked to Washington wide receiver Rome Odunze, Alabama edge rusher Dallas Turner, and UCLA edge rusher Laiatu Latu if they stay put, but the options become plentiful if they decide to move down the board. QB-needy teams like the Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders could be potential trade partners. Quarterbacks Bo Nix, Michael Penix Jr., and J.J. McCarthy could still be available at that spot.

From RotoBaller

J.J. McCarthy Apr 25 4:40pm ET
J.J. McCarthy

The Minnesota Vikings secured an additional first-round pick in the 2024 NFL draft via a trade with the Houston Texans in March. The organization held the No. 11 overall pick after finishing 7-10 in 2023, and they sent a bundle of picks to acquire the No. 23 overall selection from Houston (via Cleveland Browns). Many believe the Vikings are trying to use their two picks to move into the range to select a quarterback, and NFL insider Peter Schrager projects the Titans to be that trade partner. Tennessee holds the No. 7 selection, which could put the Vikings in range to pick Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy. Schrager has the Vikings making that pick and the Titans landing Notre Dame tackle Joe Alt at pick 11. There are likely multiple avenues Minnesota can take if the speculation is current, but Tennessee could be willing to trade down since they do not have a third-round selection.

From RotoBaller

Curtis Samuel Apr 25 3:00pm ET
Curtis Samuel

It's no secret that the Buffalo Bills need to add some wide receivers in this year's NFL draft after trading Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans and losing Gabe Davis in free agency this offseason. At No. 28 overall in the first round of Thursday night's draft, the Bills would seem to be set to take a pass-catcher. However, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero thinks the draft class' depth at the receiver position could lead the Bills to wait perhaps until the second round to take a receiver, potentially adding a defensive player in the first round instead. As Buffalo's depth chart stands right now, their top three receivers are Khalil Shakir, Justin Shorter and veteran Curtis Samuel. Even if the team adds a few wideouts in this year's draft, tight end Dalton Kincaid could be Buffalo's leading receiver in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Matthew Stafford Apr 25 2:30pm ET
Matthew Stafford

The Los Angeles Rams, who haven't picked in the first round since 2016, are calling up to try to get into the top 10 of the first round of this year's NFL draft on Thursday evening, according to sources. The Rams currently sit at pick No. 19, so it would take a lot to pull off a move into the top 10 this year. It's unclear who they might be eyeing if they were to pull it off, but the best bet would be to select Georgia pass-catching tight end Brock Bowers, who has been projected to go at 10th overall to the New York Jets in a lot of mock drafts. The Rams have also been rumored to be looking for a successor to aging quarterback Matthew Stafford, but it's unlikely they pull off a move all the way into the top five to take one of the high-end signal-callers in this year's draft. A defensive tackle is also on their draft wish list.

From RotoBaller

Jarrett Stidham Apr 25 2:20pm ET
Jarrett Stidham

The Denver Broncos are a contender to select a quarterback and potentially make a move in the first round of Thursday night's NFL draft, even after trading for quarterback Zach Wilson earlier this week. Denver sits at No. 12 overall, but NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reiterated that he thinks the Broncos could trade down within the first round. They likely don't have enough draft capital to move into the top-four picks to take a high-end QB, so instead, they could move down to take a pass-rusher or even Oregon QB Bo Nix. The Broncos have been linked to Michigan QB J.J. McCarthy as well, but McCarthy's draft stock has been soaring in the lead-up to the draft, which means the Broncos would likely have to trade into the top five to get him. As of right now, Wilson is set to compete with Jarrett Stidham for the starting job under center in 2024.

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Drake Maye Apr 25 2:10pm ET
Drake Maye

The New York Giants have been trying to trade up to No. 3 overall with the New England Patriots in the first round of Thursday night's NFL draft, with the belief being that they want to select North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye, according to multiple league sources. The prevailing thought is that it's a long shot to happen, though, but the Patriots are listening to all calls. The Giants and Vikings appear to be the most aggressive teams that are trying to trade into the top five in order to take a QB of the future in this year's draft. The Patriots have been open to trading down, but so far they've reportedly not received any serious enough offers, and they are also looking for a QB of their own after trading away Mac Jones this offseason. Most pundits are expecting New England to stand pat and take Maye if LSU's Jayden Daniels goes to the Commanders at No. 2.

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Jamin Davis Apr 25 2:10pm ET
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The Washington Commanders are declining the fifth-year contract option of linebacker Jamin Davis, according to a source. It's been heading this way for on and off-field reasons. The plan in 2024 is to have the athletically gifted Davis become a "hybrid" defender, which should translate to less pass coverage and more attempts to rush the quarterback. Davis played his rookie season in 2021 at Mike linebacker before moving to the off-ball role in the team's 4-2-5 base defense. According to Pro Football Focus, he tied for the highest yards per catch allowed (12.1) last year and ranked fourth-worst in average depth of target (5.5) because of his limited coverage instincts. The 25-year-old former 19th overall pick out of Kentucky has just seven sacks in his three seasons, but he could be more productive in that category if he's rushing the passer more in 2024.

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Ja'Marr Chase Apr 25 8:24am ET
Ja'Marr Chase

Dynasty | The Bengals are picking up the fifth year option on the contract of Ja'Marr Chase. Dynasty Analysis: Consider this a placeholder as Cincinnati now needs to prepare to make Chase the highest paid receiver in the league. Amon-Ra St. Brown has set the market with a four-year, $120 million extension ($77 million guaranteed), so the Bengals are going to need to assemble a few armored cars here soon. Chase and Justin Jefferson should both be set to sign historic deals and while the option being picked up buys the Bengals one more season, dynasty managers shouldn't worry about him hitting free agency any time soon. Chase remains a bona fide candidate for the top overall selection in dynasty leagues.

J.J. McCarthy Apr 24 11:50pm ET
J.J. McCarthy

When asked by Rich Eisen if he has any idea on where he's going to end up in this week's NFL draft, Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy hinted at the New York Giants, who currently own the No. 6 overall pick in the first round on Thursday night. "I have somewhat of an Idea, New York, #Giants, I've spent the most time with. They're a phenomenal staff," McCarthy said. The young QB's stock has been rising rapidly ever since his pro-day workout. Reports suggest the Giants and Vikings could be in a raise to trade up to select McCarthy, who is attractive because of his experience running a pro-style offense in college. With Daniel Jones (knee) coming off a torn ACL and with no guaranteed money owed to him beyond 2024, the G-Men have done their due diligence on QBs in this year's draft and feel like a lock to take one at some point this week.

From RotoBaller

Bo Nix Apr 24 9:20pm ET
Bo Nix

Denver Broncos' connections to Oregon quarterback Bo Nix have persisted with the 2024 NFL draft just a day away on Thursday night. Nix is a player that teams could wait on until the second round, but the Broncos don't have a current second-round pick this year and are slated to select in the first round at No. 12. Their acquisition of former first-rounder Zach Wilson adds another layer to their QB situation heading into Thursday evening. The Broncos have done their homework on the QB draft class -- they hosted Washington's Michael Penix Jr. on a top-30 visit and watched Michigan's J.J. McCarthy work out -- and have discussed a potential trade up in the first round. However, they have plenty of other needs and have also talked about trading down. Right now, Jarrett Stidham and Wilson are slated to compete for the starting job in training camp.

From RotoBaller

Michael Penix Jr. Apr 24 9:10pm ET
Michael Penix Jr.

The Las Vegas Raiders are thought to be high on Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr., and if the QB market starts drying up quickly in the first round of Thursday night's NFL draft and they feel the need to trade up in order to avoid being shut out, the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5 and the Tennessee Titans at No. 7 are two teams that people think are willing to trade down. The Raiders would love to be able to get up high enough to take LSU's Jayden Daniels to reunite him with head coach Antonio Pierce, but they know they might not be able to do that. The Raiders have talked with the Arizona Cardinals about what it would take to trade up to No. 4, but Vegas' interest in that pick would likely cool off significantly if Daniels is among the top three picks, as expected.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 24 9:00pm ET
Drake Maye

New England Patriots ownership seems to have a strong preference to come out of the first round of this year's NFL draft with a quarterback, so moving back to, say, No. 11 with the Minnesota Vikings or No. 13 with the Las Vegas Raiders might be too far of a drop for the team to still ensure their ability to do that. But if they move back only three spots to No. 6 in a trade with the New York Giants, they could still be in position to pick a QB in the first round and add multiple extra premium picks. The Patriots gathered information on Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. in the pre-draft process in case they decide to trade down. The Pats appear to be high on him, but ESPN's Dan Graziano doesn't think he'll be in consideration if they stay at No. 3. Most pundits believe New England will take North Carolina's Drake Maye if they stick in the third spot.

From RotoBaller

J.J. McCarthy Apr 24 8:50pm ET
J.J. McCarthy

The Athletic's Jeff Howe predicts that New York Giants will trade the sixth overall pick in this year's NFL draft and a 2025 second-round pick to the Arizona Cardinals in order to move up to fourth overall to take Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy on Thursday night. Cardinals general manager Monti Ossenfort is eager to trade down for a second straight year. If LSU's Jayden Daniels or North Carolina's Drake Maye remain available at No. 4, the Minnesota Vikings or Las Vegas Raiders would probably become more aggressive in pursuing the fourth overall pick. "I think there's going to be a race to McCarthy between the Giants and Vikings," a coach said. McCarthy doesn't have the upside that the top three QBs in this class do, but rival executives cited concerns with Giants current QB Daniel Jones' (knee) health after tearing his ACL and dealing with a neck injury in 2023.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 24 8:40pm ET
Drake Maye

The Athletic's Jeff Howe thinks No. 3 to the New England Patriots in Thursday night's NFL draft feels like the spot for North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye, although a couple executives made a case for Michigan's J.J. McCarthy. Maye has prototypical size, arm strength and athletic ability, but there's genuine concern about his inconsistencies in 2023, and his tape shed light on some erratic throws and tendencies. He has a reputation as a high-character person with great leadership abilities. Maye would be the more traditional pick at No. 3 to the Pats, with McCarthy being viewed as more of a surprise. If Maye is still available at No. 3, one executive thinks the Minnesota Vikings "would move heaven and Earth" to try and move up to draft him. If Maye lands in New England, he could sit and learn behind veteran Jacoby Brissett in 2024.

From RotoBaller