RealTime DFS Strategy: Week 4

Sat Oct 1 6:20pm ET
By MIKE BARNER
Contributing Writer

There are a few marquee matchups on the schedule for Week 4, including when the Ravens host the Bills. Another game that stands out amongst the crowd is the Buccaneers hosting the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. As we dig into the DFS slate on RealTime Fantasy Sports, here are some players to consider for your lineups, as well as a few to possibly avoid.

Quarterbacks

Josh Allen, BUF at BAL ($8,400): Allen produced another stellar stat line in Week 3, finishing with 400 passing yards, two touchdowns and 47 rushing yards. He hasn’t thrown for fewer than 297 yards in any of his first three games, totaling nine touchdown passes along the way. A monster stat line could be coming against a Ravens team that has allowed the most passing yards per game in the league.

Cooper Rush, DAL vs. WAS ($5,300): The Commanders haven’t been as bad as the Ravens, but they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game. This could be an opportune time to take a chance on Rush, who has filled in admirably for Dak Prescott (thumb). He hasn’t thrown an interception, while combining for 450 passing yards and two touchdowns in two games as a starter.

Player to Avoid

Carson Wentz, WAS at DAL ($6,000): The Cowboys have as good of a pass rush as any team in the league. Their ability to apply pressure on the opposing quarterback has contributed to them allowing the fourth-fewest passing yards per game. Coming off of a dreadful performance in Week 3 in which Wentz threw for 211 yards and no touchdowns against the Eagles, another underwhelming stat line could be coming.

Running Backs

Nick Chubb, CLE at ATL ($7,900): It’s no secret that the Browns want to run the ball early and often. Still, teams can’t stop Chubb. He steamrolled the Steelers in Week 3, rushing for 113 yards and a touchdown. Through three games, he has 62 carries for 341 yards and four scores. With his heavy workload, he has among the highest floors of any running back for this slate.

Dameon Pierce, HOU vs. LAC ($5,600): Working our way further down the salary scale, Pierce isn’t someone to overlook. After an impressive preseason, the Texans have been increasing his workload as the season has moved along. He topped out with 20 carries last week against the Bears, finishing with 80 rushing yards and a touchdown. He also caught both of his targets for an additional 21 yards. As the Texans try to keep the ball out of Justin Herbert’s hands, they could rely heavily on Pierce in this matchup. 

Player to Avoid

Clyde Edwards-Helaire, KC at TB ($6,200): The Buccaneers had one of the best run defenses in the league last season, and that’s carried over into this year with them allowing the fifth-fewest rushing yards per game in the league. I want no part of Edwards-Helaire, who finished with zero rushing yards on his seven carries in Week 3. He hasn’t had more than eight carries in any of the Chiefs’ first three games.

Wide Receivers

CeeDee Lamb, DAL vs. WAS ($6,700): The absence of Prescott has not had a negative impact on Lamb. He recorded seven catches for 75 yards in Week 2, then followed that up with eight receptions for 87 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. What makes him so appealing in DFS is that he’s received at least 11 targets in all three games. If you take a chance on Rush at quarterback, be sure to pair him with Lamb. Even if you don’t deploy Rush, Lamb is an excellent option.

Richie James, NYG vs. CHI ($4,000): It’s falling apart at wide receiver for the Giants. Sterling Shepard tore his ACL against the Cowboys, ruling him out for the remainder of the season. Kadarius Toney (hamstring) and Wan’Dale Robinson (knee) were unable to play in Week 3, and might remain sidelined for at least another game. Finally, Kenny Golladay looks washed up. If Toney and Robinson are out again, we could see plenty of James, who has already received at least five targets in each of the Giants first three games. 

Player to Avoid

Dionte Johnson, PIT vs. NYJ ($6,000): Having Mitch Trubisky as his quarterback isn’t doing any favors for Johnson. He still doesn’t have a touchdown catch, and he’s finished with fewer than 60 receiving yards in two of his first three games. With the expectation that Trubisky continues to struggle, Johnson’s upside will remain limited.

Tight Ends

Mark Andrews, BAL vs. BUF ($7,100): It’s not difficult to make a case for deploying Andrews in DFS. He’s stormed out of the gate with 22 receptions, 245 yards and three touchdowns through three games. The Ravens have given him at least 11 targets in back-to-back games, and will likely continue to rely heavily on him in Week 4 as they try to keep pace with Josh Allen and the Bills’ offense.

David Njoku, CLE at ATL ($3,700): After two quiet performances to begin the season, Njoku bounced back in Week 3 to catch nine of 10 targets for 89 yards and a touchdown against the Steelers. He’s received five red zone targets through three games, and should continue to be a favorite for Jacoby Brissett when the Browns do decide to throw it in close. At such a cheap salary, Njoku is a viable option in tournament play.

Player to Avoid

George Kittle, LAR vs. SF ($5,300): After a groin injury kept Kittle sidelined through the first two games, he finally made his season debut last week against the Broncos. He didn’t do much, catching four of five targets for 28 yards. Kittle can explode any given week, but he also had seven games last season in which he finished with 40 or fewer receiving yards. Facing a talented Rams defense makes Kittle a risky option.

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. His work has appeared in Sports Illustrated, Yahoo, SportsLine and RotoWire. Mike was also a finalist for the 2018 FSWA Basketball Writer of the Year award. Follow Mike on Twitter @rotomikebarner.

Top Headlines
The Paur Report

First TFC Review

Player Notes
Ja'Marr Chase Apr 25 7:24am CT
Ja'Marr Chase

Dynasty | The Bengals are picking up the fifth year option on the contract of Ja'Marr Chase. Dynasty Analysis: Consider this a placeholder as Cincinnati now needs to prepare to make Chase the highest paid receiver in the league. Amon-Ra St. Brown has set the market with a four-year, $120 million extension ($77 million guaranteed), so the Bengals are going to need to assemble a few armored cars here soon. Chase and Justin Jefferson should both be set to sign historic deals and while the option being picked up buys the Bengals one more season, dynasty managers shouldn't worry about him hitting free agency any time soon. Chase remains a bona fide candidate for the top overall selection in dynasty leagues.

J.J. McCarthy Apr 24 10:50pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

When asked by Rich Eisen if he has any idea on where he's going to end up in this week's NFL draft, Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy hinted at the New York Giants, who currently own the No. 6 overall pick in the first round on Thursday night. "I have somewhat of an Idea, New York, #Giants, I've spent the most time with. They're a phenomenal staff," McCarthy said. The young QB's stock has been rising rapidly ever since his pro-day workout. Reports suggest the Giants and Vikings could be in a raise to trade up to select McCarthy, who is attractive because of his experience running a pro-style offense in college. With Daniel Jones (knee) coming off a torn ACL and with no guaranteed money owed to him beyond 2024, the G-Men have done their due diligence on QBs in this year's draft and feel like a lock to take one at some point this week.

From RotoBaller

Bo Nix Apr 24 8:20pm CT
Bo Nix

Denver Broncos' connections to Oregon quarterback Bo Nix have persisted with the 2024 NFL draft just a day away on Thursday night. Nix is a player that teams could wait on until the second round, but the Broncos don't have a current second-round pick this year and are slated to select in the first round at No. 12. Their acquisition of former first-rounder Zach Wilson adds another layer to their QB situation heading into Thursday evening. The Broncos have done their homework on the QB draft class -- they hosted Washington's Michael Penix Jr. on a top-30 visit and watched Michigan's J.J. McCarthy work out -- and have discussed a potential trade up in the first round. However, they have plenty of other needs and have also talked about trading down. Right now, Jarrett Stidham and Wilson are slated to compete for the starting job in training camp.

From RotoBaller

Michael Penix Jr. Apr 24 8:10pm CT
Michael Penix Jr.

The Las Vegas Raiders are thought to be high on Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr., and if the QB market starts drying up quickly in the first round of Thursday night's NFL draft and they feel the need to trade up in order to avoid being shut out, the Los Angeles Chargers at No. 5 and the Tennessee Titans at No. 7 are two teams that people think are willing to trade down. The Raiders would love to be able to get up high enough to take LSU's Jayden Daniels to reunite him with head coach Antonio Pierce, but they know they might not be able to do that. The Raiders have talked with the Arizona Cardinals about what it would take to trade up to No. 4, but Vegas' interest in that pick would likely cool off significantly if Daniels is among the top three picks, as expected.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 24 8:00pm CT
Drake Maye

New England Patriots ownership seems to have a strong preference to come out of the first round of this year's NFL draft with a quarterback, so moving back to, say, No. 11 with the Minnesota Vikings or No. 13 with the Las Vegas Raiders might be too far of a drop for the team to still ensure their ability to do that. But if they move back only three spots to No. 6 in a trade with the New York Giants, they could still be in position to pick a QB in the first round and add multiple extra premium picks. The Patriots gathered information on Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. in the pre-draft process in case they decide to trade down. The Pats appear to be high on him, but ESPN's Dan Graziano doesn't think he'll be in consideration if they stay at No. 3. Most pundits believe New England will take North Carolina's Drake Maye if they stick in the third spot.

From RotoBaller

J.J. McCarthy Apr 24 7:50pm CT
J.J. McCarthy

The Athletic's Jeff Howe predicts that New York Giants will trade the sixth overall pick in this year's NFL draft and a 2025 second-round pick to the Arizona Cardinals in order to move up to fourth overall to take Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy on Thursday night. Cardinals general manager Monti Ossenfort is eager to trade down for a second straight year. If LSU's Jayden Daniels or North Carolina's Drake Maye remain available at No. 4, the Minnesota Vikings or Las Vegas Raiders would probably become more aggressive in pursuing the fourth overall pick. "I think there's going to be a race to McCarthy between the Giants and Vikings," a coach said. McCarthy doesn't have the upside that the top three QBs in this class do, but rival executives cited concerns with Giants current QB Daniel Jones' (knee) health after tearing his ACL and dealing with a neck injury in 2023.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 24 7:40pm CT
Drake Maye

The Athletic's Jeff Howe thinks No. 3 to the New England Patriots in Thursday night's NFL draft feels like the spot for North Carolina quarterback Drake Maye, although a couple executives made a case for Michigan's J.J. McCarthy. Maye has prototypical size, arm strength and athletic ability, but there's genuine concern about his inconsistencies in 2023, and his tape shed light on some erratic throws and tendencies. He has a reputation as a high-character person with great leadership abilities. Maye would be the more traditional pick at No. 3 to the Pats, with McCarthy being viewed as more of a surprise. If Maye is still available at No. 3, one executive thinks the Minnesota Vikings "would move heaven and Earth" to try and move up to draft him. If Maye lands in New England, he could sit and learn behind veteran Jacoby Brissett in 2024.

From RotoBaller

Micah Parsons Apr 24 7:30pm CT
Micah Parsons

The Dallas Cowboys officially picked up hybrid defensive end Micah Parsons' fifth-year option for the 2025 season on Wednesday, according to a person familiar with the move. Parsons' salary is worth $21.32 million as a defensive end, which is the position at which he played the majority of his snaps in 2023. The 24-year-old former 12th overall pick in 2021 out of Penn State has been a beast rushing the passer so far in his first three NFL seasons. He's made the Pro Bowl in all three seasons and has a total of 213 tackles (142 solo), 40.5 sacks, 51 tackles for loss, 89 QB hits, eight passes defended, seven forced fumbles and four fumble recoveries (one returned for a touchdown) in 50 regular-season starts. Parsons had 64 tackles and a career-high 14 sacks in 2023 and will once again be a highly coveted pass-rusher in IDP fantasy formats this fall.

From RotoBaller

Jayden Daniels Apr 24 7:30pm CT
Jayden Daniels

Word around the league is that the Washington Commanders have advocates in their building for both LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels and North Carolina QB Drake Maye. However, almost everyone polled for The Athletic's story believed Daniels was destined for Washington with new general manager Adam Peters hot for Daniels. The belief from rival teams is that the Commanders had been leaning toward Maye much earlier in the pre-draft process, but Daniels has done enough to lock himself into the No. 2 pick. One executive from a team outside of the top 10 wouldn't rule out a brief Daniels slide, perhaps down to No. 4. Still, it's highly unlikely Daniels drops out of the top five. If he goes to D.C., he'll be favored to start from Day 1 in his rookie season.

From RotoBaller

Tarik Cohen Apr 24 7:20pm CT
Tarik Cohen

Carolina Panthers linebacker Shaq Thompson (leg), offensive guard Austin Corbett (knee), pass-rusher Jadeveon Clowney and running back Tarik Cohen (Achilles) have all been taking part in drills during voluntary offseason workouts this week. Meanwhile, offensive guard Chandler Zavala (knee) and linebackers D.J. Wonnum (quadriceps) Amare Barno (knee) weren't participating in drills. Thompson, who suffered a fractured fibula in Week 2 last year against the New Orleans Saints, is the most notable name of this group. The 30-year-old should be ready to go for training camp and the preseason later this year as long as he doesn't suffer a setback before then. The former 25th overall pick in 2015 out of Washington recorded 100-plus combined tackles in each of his previous four seasons with Carolina before getting hurt in 2023.

From RotoBaller

Trey Hendrickson Apr 24 7:10pm CT
Trey Hendrickson

Cincinnati Bengals three-time Pro Bowl defensive end Trey Hendrickson has requested to be traded from the Bengals, according to a league source. Hendrickson is due to make $15 million in 2024 and is looking for more long-term security than the Bengals have been willing to offer. It remains to be seen if the 29-year-old's wish will be granted with the first round of the 2024 NFL draft coming on Thursday evening. The former third-round pick of the New Orleans Saints in 2017 out of Florida Atlantic has made the Pro Bowl in each of the last three seasons with the Bengals. In 17 starts in 2023, he had a career-high 43 tackles (28 solo), a career-high 17.5 sacks, 16 tackles for loss, 25 QB hits and three forced fumbles. Even if he heads to a new team for 2024, Hendrickson should still be in play as a weekly starting defensive lineman in IDP fantasy leagues.

From RotoBaller

Ezekiel Elliott Apr 24 7:10pm CT
Ezekiel Elliott

The Dallas Cowboys are currently meeting with free-agent running back Ezekiel Elliott's representatives around the facility on Wednesday, a day before the start of the 2024 NFL draft, according to a source. There has been mutual interest from both sides in a reunion this offseason as the Cowboys look to bolster their running back position after losing Tony Pollard in free agency. As of right now, Dallas' RB room consists of Rico Dowdle, Deuce Vaughn, Malik Davis, Royce Freeman and Snoop Conner. The 28-year-old Elliott had 184 carries for 642 yards (career-low 3.5 yards per carry) and three touchdowns while adding 51 catches for 313 yards and another two scores through the air in 17 games for the New England Patriots in 2023. At this point in his career, Zeke needs volume to be fantasy relevant, and that probably won't happen if he returns to Dallas.

From RotoBaller

Ezekiel Elliott Apr 24 6:13pm CT
Ezekiel Elliott

Free-agent RB Ezekiel Elliott's (Patriots) representative is meeting with the Dallas Cowboys Wednesday, April 24, according to a source.

Fantasy Spin: The Cowboys do not have a clear starter at running back, so Elliott probably would have a big role if he decided to return to the Cowboys. Fantasy players can monitor the situation because Elliott could be at least a flex option if he starts in 2024.

From TheHuddle

Dawuane Smoot Apr 24 4:03pm CT
Dawuane Smoot

Free-agent DE Dawuane Smoot (Jaguars) recently met with the Houston Texans.

From TheHuddle

Jim Harbaugh Apr 24 4:00pm CT
Jim Harbaugh

The Los Angeles Chargers are set to undergo a rebuilding phase following the hiring of head coach Jim Harbaugh and the departures of longtime offensive weapons Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams. L.A. has been rumored to be a top landing spot for Ohio State wideout Marvin Harrison or LSU wideout Malik Nabers, but Jordan Schultz of Bleacher Report suggests they are likely to pick an offensive tackle if they stay at pick No. 5. Notre Dame's Joe Alt is expected to be the first player at the position off the board. Alt has been mocked to the Tennessee Titans at pick No. 7 for much of the offseason, so the Chargers picking the 2023 first-team All-American would shake things up drastically. The Chargers have a lot of options with teams potentially trying to move up for a quarterback, so they are one of the key teams to monitor in the first round on Thursday.

From RotoBaller

Drake Maye Apr 24 3:40pm CT
Drake Maye

The New York Giants are in an interesting predicament at the quarterback spot. The organization signed Daniel Jones (knee) to a four-year, $160 million deal last offseason, but he didn't play well in 2023, and he is coming off a torn ACL. There has been plenty of buzz surrounding New York selecting a quarterback in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, but Dianna Russini of The Athletic reports that they could pass on a quarterback if North Carolina's Drake Maye isn't available at pick No. 6. "Most teams believe if Maye is off the board, the Giants' most likely scenario is to go wide receiver to land a player who can help an offense that was last in the league in yards after the catch in 2023," Russini wrote. If the reports are true, look for New York to target LSU's Malik Nabers in that draft slot. That said, Washington's Rome Odunze is likely in consideration as well.

From RotoBaller

Michael Penix Jr. Apr 24 3:30pm CT
Michael Penix Jr.

University of Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has seemingly been rising draft boards this offseason, and NFL insider Dianna Russini of The Athletic reports that he could enter the discussion to be one of the first four quarterbacks off the board. "It's been assumed the top four QBs are Williams, Daniels, Maye, and McCarthy," Russini wrote "But don't be surprised if Penix enters the discussion come Thursday." Penix, who will be 24 years old during his rookie season, had a monster two-year stretch with Washington after four injury-riddled campaigns at Indiana. In 2022 and 2023, combined, the lefty posted 9,544 passing yards, 67 passing touchdowns, and 67 interceptions. He ran between a 4.51 and 4.57 forty-yard dash at the Huskies' Pro Day, so his 226 career rushing yards might not demonstrate his full rushing ability.

From RotoBaller

Calais Campbell Apr 24 3:23pm CT
Calais Campbell

Free-agent DE Calais Campbell (Falcons) is a player the Atlanta Falcons are open to re-signing this offseason, according to general manager Terry Fontenot.

From TheHuddle

Jared Goff Apr 24 3:20pm CT
Jared Goff

Detroit Lions quarterback Jared Goff had a monster 2023 season, throwing for 4,575 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. He led Detroit to the No. 3 seed in the NFC and the organization won two playoff games in a single postseason for the first time since 1957. On Wednesday, the team signed Pro Bowl wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and offensive tackle Penei Sewell to high-dollar four-year contract extensions, but Goff is reportedly not close to agreeing to a new long-term deal. According to Adam Schefter, no new deal is "imminent" as of now. This will be an interesting development to watch play out, as the former Los Angeles Rams No. 1 overall pick is entering the final year of his contract in the Motor City and could become a free agent next offseason.

From RotoBaller

Amon-Ra St. Brown Apr 24 3:13pm CT
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Dynasty | The Lions have signed wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown to a contract extension. Dynasty Analysis: The contract is basically a four-year, $120 million extension with $77 million guaranteed, the most ever for a wide receiver in NFL history. It's a huge haul for St. Brown, who has quickly established himself as one of the best players in the NFL. After his 119/1,515/10 season last year, the Lions were going to either pay him or risk losing him after his rookie deal expired. They've clearly chosen to build around him and he should be firmly cemented as a WR1 in dynasty moving forward. St. Brown is an easy target for any team looking for a premier centerpiece to their dynasty team as the best could truly be yet to come.

From Dynasty League Fantasy