WR Strength of Schedule

Fri May 31 10:52am ET
By JEFF PAUR
Sr Fantasy Writer

Related photo caption below

Lamb could top last season


Using our rules for our money leagues, we came up with a schedule strength ranking for the receiver position. We are using our fantasy defenses report to calculate the rankings. This report can be found in all of our leagues under the "reports" heading. We took the schedule of each team and entered the average number of fantasy points allowed to receivers last season from all of their opponents to get our fantasy points allowed number. This is a good indication of the receivers with the most favorable schedules for fantasy scoring for the coming season. Defenses obviously change from year to year, but knowing the receivers that might have the easiest schedule for fantasy is always a good idea when formulating your rankings and draft strategy.

  WR SOS  
1. Denver Broncos 531.34
2. Los Angeles Chargers 536.08
3. Miami Dolphins 537.31
4. Kansas City Chiefs 549.96
5. Las Vegas Raiders 552.89
6. Pittsburgh Steelers 554.85
7. New England Patriots 555.93
8. Buffalo Bills 556.13
9. Houston Texans 561.75
10. San Francisco 49ers 565.73
11. New Orleans Saints 566.06
12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 566.19
13. Cincinnati Bengals 566.32
14. Jacksonville Jaguars 570.07
15. Baltimore Ravens 571.77
16. Seattle Seahawks 573.41
17. Minnesota Vikings 573.91
18. Philadelphia Eagles 574.46
19. Carolina Panthers 575.49
20. Los Angeles Rams 575.79
21. Washington Commanders 575.91
22. Detroit Lions 576.36
23. Atlanta Falcons 577.76
24. New York Jets 577.99
25. Tennessee Titans 578.06
26. Indianapolis Colts 578.18
27. Cleveland Browns 583.5
28. Arizona Cardinals 586.09
29. New York Giants 586.93
30. Chicago Bears 601.21
31. Dallas Cowboys 608.4
32. Green Bay Packers 610.22

 

The Packers have the easiest fantasy schedule for receivers. Jayden Reed and Christian Watson could be setup for career best seasons with this schedule. These are guys you can get a little later come draft day and mid-round options that could be difference makers for fantasy owners.

CeeDee Lamb is considered the No. 1 overall fantasy receiver for many and his schedule helps make that claim even stronger. Lamb has the second most favorable schedule for receivers. Lamb was huge last year and could improve on that even more, especially since the Cowboys could struggle to run the ball with their current options.

The Bears, Giants and Cardinals also round out the top-five most favorable receiver schedules. Chicago has a great trio of receivers with D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze.  These guys could produce big as long as rookie Caleb Williams gets the job done at quarterback in year one. Moore has more to compete with for targets this year, but you still have to like his chances for a big season in year two with the Bears.

The Giants and Cardinals both have some question marks at receiver, but a couple rookies lead the way for both teams. Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison could have big rookie seasons with their new teams. These guys both have a chance to lead all rookie fantasy receivers in scoring.

On the opposite side of things, the Broncos have the most challenging schedule for receivers. The Broncos have all sorts of questions at receiver outside of Courtland Sutton. This is a unit of receivers you just might want to avoid come draft day. This schedule won’t make anything easier for this group.

The Chargers are a similar team to the Broncos, having openings and questions at receiver. So once again, it might be best to let someone else put Chargers receivers on their roster. Plus, the Chargers could be a lot more run heavy with a new coach running the show. The tough schedule and new offense make taking any Chargers receiver a bit of a risk.

There are two really good offenses on the list that have tough schedules for receivers. Both the Dolphins and Chiefs have a top-five least favorable schedule for receivers. The Dolphins have one of the best receiver duos in football, so it is tough to fade them because of this schedule. Both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle should be able to produce big numbers once again in this offense.

The Chiefs are a little more concerning. This offense is a little matchup proof, but don’t have that elite receiver on their roster. Rashee Rice and Marquise Brown lead the way. Brown hasn’t been great in recent seasons and Rice is facing a suspension. These guys will carry some risk come draft day, especially after seeing this schedule.

Davante Adams is usually another star receiver that is matchup proof, but you have to wonder a little this year. He has some question marks at quarterback, which could hurt his production when you pair it with this schedule. Adams is dealing with the fifth toughest fantasy schedule for receivers.

We also wanted to look at playoff schedules for fantasy receivers. So we crunched the numbers of all the schedules from Week 14-17, which is the fantasy playoffs for most leagues. We know you have to get to the playoffs first, but knowing the receivers with the easiest playoff schedules doesn’t hurt by any means, especially in the big money contests.

  WR PLAYOFF SOS  
1. Los Angeles Rams 501.93
2. Jacksonville Jaguars 515.53
3. Kansas City Chiefs 519.43
4. New York Giants 521.63
5. Miami Dolphins 532.77
6. Tampa Bay Buccaneers 534.53
7. Houston Texans 538
8. Buffalo Bills 540.87
9. Las Vegas Raiders 541.9
10. Carolina Panthers 549.33
11. Cincinnati Bengals 552.17
12. Detroit Lions 553.73
13. Arizona Cardinals 555.27
14. Cleveland Browns 555.4
15. Minnesota Vikings 560.93
16. New England Patriots 573.03
17. Los Angeles Chargers 573.1
18. Tennessee Titans 575.17
19. Baltimore Ravens 581.27
20. Seattle Seahawks 585.08
21. New York Jets 585.5
22. Denver Broncos 587.2
23. Pittsburgh Steelers 587.8
24. Philadelphia Eagles 589.73
25. Green Bay Packers 590.85
26. Washington Commanders 591.57
27. New Orleans Saints 604.13
28. Dallas Cowboys 609.73
29. Indianapolis Colts 614
30. San Francisco 49ers 641.53
31. Atlanta Falcons 644.93
32. Chicago Bears 647.98

 

The Bears and Cowboys are the teams that make both the top five easiest receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. Chicago has the easiest for the entire playoffs. Once again, their top trio of receivers are looking pretty good come draft day.

Lamb continues to make his case to be the first receiver selected come draft day. He could have a monster season and finish strong as well with the fifth easiest schedule for the playoffs. Lamb might be the most surefire first-round pick come draft day.

The Falcons, 49ers and Colts also have a top-five favorable playoff schedule for receivers. Atlanta receivers were looking up to begin with, getting a legit quarterback throwing them passes this year. And this schedule makes their options look even better, especially Drake London. He could have a breakout season.

San Francisco has great options at receiver in Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel. They are pretty safe picks come draft day. And they get a very favorable playoff schedule that could make them even more appealing to fantasy owners. These guys both have really solid floors come draft day in this offense.

Michael Pittman keeps getting it done as the No. 1 option for the Colts. If Anthony Richardson can become that true No. 1 at quarterback for Indy, Pittman would look even better. Pittman has produced in recent year despite having some quarterback issues. His game could go to a higher level this year if Richardson breaks out. Pittman could be a league winner if everything breaks his way in 2024.

The Chiefs and Dolphins are two of the best offenses in football but also the only two teams to make the top five most unfavorable receiver schedules for both the regular season and playoffs. This is a tad concerning for both teams, Again, it is tough to bet against Hill, but maybe you drop him down your rankings just few spots behind the other elite guys because of this. You hate to use an early round pick on a receiver to see him maybe not produce what he should come playoff time.

And as mentioned with the Chiefs, their top two receivers already face a few question marks, so maybe their tough schedules make them players to let someone else draft. Both Brown and Rice could be a little erratic.

The Rams actually have the toughest playoff schedule for receivers. They are another team with two of the best receivers in football. It is tough to bet against either Puka Nacua or Cooper Kupp, but the playoff schedule is a little scary, especially for Kupp. He seems to be trending down at this stage of his career.

The Jaguars and Giants are the two other teams with a top-five unfavorable fantasy schedule for the playoffs. The Jags have Christian Kirk and Gabriel Davis as their top two receivers. Kirk is normally pretty steady but Davis can be boom or bust. Seeing his playoff schedule should bump him down a few spots in your rankings. It could be more of the same for Davis with his new team.

And the Giants are an outlier here, having an easy schedule for receivers during the regular season but the fourth toughest for the playoffs. This makes it tough come draft day. Their receivers could be good values for the regular season but disappoint when it counts. You do have to just make the playoffs, though, so we aren’t sure we shy away from Giant receivers just because of their tough playoff schedule. You still might be able to get good value with their options that help you win during the season.

Jeff Paur is a two-time finalist for FSWA Fantasy Football Writer of the Year and won the FSWA award for Best Fantasy Football Article on the Web in 2011. He also was the most accurate expert in 2012, winning the FSTA Fantasy Football Accuracy Award. If you have any questions for Jeff, email him at [email protected]. Follow Jeff on Twitter @jeffpaur.

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Hot Plays, Fades and Sleepers: Week 4

Player Notes
Sam Darnold Sep 27 5:40pm CT
Sam Darnold

The Green Bay Packers' defense and special teams unit will draw a tough assignment as they head home to face the Minnesota Vikings in Week 4. The Packers were able to tee off on Will Levis and the Tennessee Titans to the tune of eight sacks, two interceptions, a fumble recovery, and a touchdown in Week 3 as the top-scoring fantasy defense on the week. With the Vikings heading to town riding the hot hand of Sam Darnold, plus Justin Jefferson, former Packer Aaron Jones, and the return of Jordan Addison, the Vikings will be a tall order to stop on all fronts. Look for the Packers to have some success but ultimately, be a middling option on the week for fantasy lineups.

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Alvin Kamara Sep 27 5:40pm CT
Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints running back Alvin Kamara (hip, ribs) is officially listed as questionable to play in Week 4 against the division-rival Atlanta Falcons. Kamara started out the week with a DNP on Wednesday before he was limited in practice on both Thursday and Friday. The fact that the 29-year-old got in two straight days of practice puts him on the right side of questionable leading into Sunday's divisional clash, but fantasy managers will still want to check the Sunday morning inactives list to be sure. If Kamara is out or limited at all, it will mean more work for backup Jamaal Williams. Kamara, who has been a big part of the Saints' offense through three weeks, could see even more work through the air if he suits up and receiver Chris Olave (hamstring). Tight end Taysom Hill is another option for backfield work if Kamara is inactive this week. If active, Kamara needs to be started in all fantasy lineups as a clear-cut RB1.

From RotoBaller

Deshaun Watson Sep 27 5:40pm CT
Deshaun Watson

Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshaun Watson struggled in a home loss to the New York Giants in Week 3, throwing two touchdown passes but getting sacked eight times on 37 pass attempts. He will look to get back on track in a road game against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 4. The Raiders have been relatively generous to opposing quarterbacks so far this season, allowing the 11th-most fantasy points per game to the position. That being said, Watson hasn't done much to inspire confidence in him in fantasy this season, throwing just three touchdowns and two interceptions through three games. Still looking for his first 200-yard passing game this season, Watson should be on benches in fantasy as a low-end QB2 heading into Week 4's matchup.

From RotoBaller

Brock Purdy Sep 27 5:30pm CT
Brock Purdy

San Francisco 49ers left tackle Trent Williams (toe) is listed as questionable for the Week 4 contest against the visiting New England Patriots on Sunday, according to head coach Kyle Shanahan. Williams was also under the weather this week. He did not practice on Wednesday, was a full-go on Thursday and missed another practice on Friday, leading to his questionable tag. Williams' toe became sore on Thursday and was bothering him again on Friday. The 36-year-old's status heading into Sunday's contest is worth watching, mainly for quarterback Brock Purdy against an underrated Patriots defense. Purdy's blind-side protection would be a big downgrade if Williams, an 11-time Pro Bowler, is unable to suit up this Sunday. Williams held out for the entirety of training camp and the preseason before striking a long-term extension with the Niners just before Week 1 of the regular season.

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Brayden Narveson Sep 27 5:30pm CT
Brayden Narveson

Green Bay Packers kicker Brayden Narveson has been excellent for the Packers and looks to keep his good fortune going as Green Bay hosts the Minnesota Vikings in Week 4. Narveson has booted home three field goals in every game this season and has been a top-10 fantasy kicker in each week as well. With Jordan Love (knee) possibly returning in Week 4, Narveson's outlook also gets a bump up as the Packers' offense should have more opportunities to score or get into the opponent's end of the field. With Narveson kicking well and averaging double-digit fantasy points per game this season, he's perfectly capable of being a solid contributor at kicker in fantasy lineups for Week 4's game in Green Bay against the Vikings.

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Dameon Pierce Sep 27 5:30pm CT
Dameon Pierce

Houston Texans running back Dameon Pierce (hamstring) missed practice all week and has officially been ruled out for the Week 4 contest on Sunday against the division-rival Jacksonville Jaguars. The Texans were saying earlier this week that Pierce was making progress from his hamstring injury and was close to returning, but that won't happen this week. The 24-year-old will miss his third straight game after being injured in the Week 1 win over the Indianapolis Colts. Joe Mixon (ankle) is questionable and is danger of missing a second straight game as well, so Houston could be forced to use Cam Akers as their lead back once again. If Mixon is inactive on Sunday, Akers can be plugged in as an RB3/flex for fantasy managers looking for help at the position. Pierce's next chance to return will be in a Week 5 meeting against the Buffalo Bills.

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Tucker Kraft Sep 27 5:20pm CT
Tucker Kraft

Green Bay Packers tight end Tucker Kraft (shoulder) has turned in two consecutive full practices and is off of the injury report for Week 4 as the Packers head home to host the Minnesota Vikings. Kraft has been a minimal producer for fantasy purposes this season, with just four receptions this season, but Kraft is playing the majority of snaps and routes over fellow tight end Luke Musgrave in the Packers offense. With the tight end position in fantasy being the wasteland that it is, Kraft's outlook looks a lot better if Jordan Love (knee) returns as the starting quarterback even in a tougher matchup against the Vikings. Consider Kraft a low-end streamer at tight end this week against the Vikings this week.

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Jayden Reed Sep 27 5:10pm CT
Jayden Reed

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Jayden Reed should be plenty involved in Week 4 as the Packers head home to face the Minnesota Vikings. Reed has been the top fantasy option amongst the Packers' pass-catchers, even with Malik Willis at quarterback. Averaging 30 rushing yards per game this season in addition to his receiving workload, Reed has been a versatile option for fantasy managers as he's stuck in lineups with Willis starting. The Packers may get Jordan Love (knee) back under center, which would universally help the entire offensive ecosystem with ceiling and floor for fantasy purposes. Trust Reed as a low-end WR2 this week even in a tough matchup against the Vikings.

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George Kittle Sep 27 5:10pm CT
George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers tight end George Kittle (hamstring) is good to go and was removed from the final injury report for Week 4 against the New England Patriots on Sunday, according to head coach Kyle Shanahan. The writing was on the wall for Kittle to return after a one-game absence in the Week 3 loss to the division-rival Los Angeles Rams when he returned to practice on Wednesday. The fact that the 30-year-old isn't even on the final injury report means he should be available for a full complement of snaps this weekend. Fantasy managers everywhere need to return him to a starting lineup spot, especially with receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) potentially missing a second straight game with a calf strain. Kittle had a healthy 11 receptions on 13 targets for 116 yards and a touchdown in the first two weeks of the season. His return will surely boost quarterback Brock Purdy's prospects as a QB1 in fantasy this week.

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Romeo Doubs Sep 27 5:00pm CT
Romeo Doubs

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs will face the Minnesota Vikings in Week 4 and getting Jordan Love (knee) back at quarterback will be a huge coup for the Packers' pass-catchers, including Doubs. After a Week 3 where Doubs caught just one ball for 18 yards on two targets, Doubs has been a bit lost in the shuffle since Malik Willis has been quarterback over the past two weeks. A feather in his cap though is that Doubs routinely runs the highest percentage of routes per dropback amongst Packers wide receivers, so you know he's going to be on the field more than any other receiver. Consider Doubs a low-end flex option, even if Love returns under center for the Packers at home against the Vikings.

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Christian Watson Sep 27 4:50pm CT
Christian Watson

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Christian Watson will need some big plays to hit his fantasy ceiling in a tough matchup against the Minnesota Vikings. Watson had his best production of the season, but it still wasn't enough to really warrant fantasy consideration as he caught two balls for 67 yards in Week 3 against the Tennessee Titans after being left without a target in Week 2. Watson's snaps are also of concern, as they've steadily decreased from Week 1 to Week 3 as he's been rotated with some of the other receivers for the Packers. A Jordan Love (knee) return from injury will help Watson's outlook immensely, but for Week 4 against the Vikings, Watson is merely a flex option that you're hoping catches a long touchdown.

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Luke McCaffrey Sep 27 4:40pm CT
Luke McCaffrey

Washington Commanders rookie wide receiver Luke McCaffrey had a career-best 44 yards in their Week 3 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals but should not be relied upon in any starting lineups this weekend. After catching three passes in the season opener, the Rice product was held off the scoresheet in Week 2. However, McCaffrey responded in Week 3 by logging the third-most snaps at the position and bringing in three passes. His best catch of the night came on a fourth down when quarterback Jayden Daniels found him for 30 yards. Fantasy managers should continue to view the third-round pick as a solid stash candidate. He could emerge as a consistent weapon in this offense later in the fall, but for now, he remains a high-risk play in DFS formats on Sunday.

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Austin Seibert Sep 27 4:40pm CT
Austin Seibert

Washington Commanders kicker Austin Seibert remained perfect through his Washington tenure on Monday night as he went 1-for-1 on field goal attempts and 5-for-5 on extra points. In his Commanders debut in Week 2, Seibert scored all of their points in a divisional win over the Giants, going a remarkable 7-for-7 on field goal attempts. Even though Seibert has spent time on several teams during his five-year career, he may have found a new home in the DMV. Given that their game against the Cardinals holds a high 50-point total, Seibert should have plenty of opportunities to put points on the board, which makes him an intriguing streaming option in deeper formats.

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Jayden Daniels Sep 27 4:40pm CT
Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels enjoyed a breakout performance last week on Monday Night Football and looks to keep it rolling in the desert against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. Last week, Daniels eclipsed 250 passing yards and threw for two scores for the first time in his career after relying primarily on his legs during the first two games of the campaign. With his incredible rushing ability, Daniels has scored over 30 PPR points twice. This week, he faces the Arizona Cardinals in a game with the highest point total of the week at 50, suggesting this could be a high-scoring affair and should open the door for significant fantasy opportunities. Daniels should be locked into all starting lineups and viewed as a high-end QB1.

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Josh Jacobs Sep 27 4:40pm CT
Josh Jacobs

Green Bay Packers running back Josh Jacobs has been solid all season but will face a stout Minnesota Vikings defense on Sunday at Lambeau Field. The Vikings are a top-seven in defensive EPA per rush. Having given up the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the running back position this season, Jacobs has a tall task ahead of him to carve out an RB1 week. That said, Jordan Love (knee) is questionable to return under center for the Packers, so the overall outlook on the Packers' chances against the Vikings is dramatically improved if Love is the quarterback. Jacobs' snaps have decreased in three straight weeks from 73% to 52%, but he is still firmly the workhorse in this backfield, even with Emanuel Wilson taking a handful of touches in the past week or two. Jacobs isn't quite an RB1 this week but is a solid RB2 in a tough matchup this week against Minnesota.

From RotoBaller

Terry McLaurin Sep 27 4:30pm CT
Terry McLaurin

Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin broke out of a two-game slump last weekend on Monday evening and should be viewed as a WR2 with upside this weekend as he faces the Arizona Cardinals. Through the first two weeks, McLaurin caught eight passes for 39 yards but flipped the script last weekend as he hit the century mark on four catches with the eventual game-winning score. Even though he was not as productive over the first two weeks, he still saw 23.7% of the team's air yards, his best mark since the 2021 campaign. Given that Jayden Daniels is continuing to develop as a passer, fantasy managers should expect McLaurin's production to only improve as the season progresses. Facing a Cardinals defense that has allowed the 14th most points to opposing wideouts, McLaurin possesses a safe floor and a high ceiling, especially if this game opens up as the current 50-point total suggests.

From RotoBaller

Noah Brown Sep 27 4:30pm CT
Noah Brown

Washington Commanders wide receiver Noah Brown logged a season-high 32 snaps in Week 3 and has quickly ascended the Washington depth chart. Brown signed with Washington late in August and did not suit up for the season opener. In Week 2, Brown caught three passes for an impressive 56 yards on just 20 snaps. He followed that up with an increase in his snap count to 32 (second-most at the position) as he caught another three passes, this time for just 29 yards. Fantasy managers should continue to view Brown as a stash candidate in deeper formats as he has flashed big-play ability throughout his NFL career. This weekend, he has a favorable matchup and could be considered as a flex option in DFS contests, given his affordable price.

From RotoBaller

Zach Ertz Sep 27 4:30pm CT
Zach Ertz

Washington Commanders tight end Zach Ertz remains a solid TE1 heading into Week 4. Ertz has seen his reception count increase weekly this season, as he finished Week 3 with a new ' high of five. He has seen at least four targets every week and averaged 42.7 receiving yards. While the Commanders have lacked a proven No.2 wideout, the veteran tight end has filled that void, at least temporarily. Fantasy managers should expect Ertz to continue to serve as a reliable option in the middle of the field for Jayden Daniels. This week, he has a favorable matchup against a weak Arizona defense, making him a safe floor play with solid upside in all formats.

From RotoBaller

Brian Robinson Jr. Sep 27 4:20pm CT
Brian Robinson Jr.

Washington Commanders running back Brian Robinson Jr. will have an excellent opportunity to bounce back from his worst outing of the season this weekend as he stands as the lone running back on the Washington depth chart. Austin Ekeler (concussion) was ruled out earlier this week, and this should open the door for Robinson to see the vast majority of running back snaps this weekend. Robinson has seen a slight majority of attempts over Ekeler on the ground but has typically ceded passing duties to the former Charger. On Sunday, fantasy managers should feel comfortable starting the Alabama product in all formats this weekend, as he should have a stable three-down role. Even though he ran for just 33 yards last week, Robinson tallied 133 yards the week prior and should be viewed as a high-end RB2 against an Arizona defense that has allowed the 24th-most points to opposing running backs.

From RotoBaller

Deebo Samuel Sep 27 4:10pm CT
Deebo Samuel

San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel Sr. (calf) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the New England Patriots, according to Tom Pelissero. The star wideout suffered a calf strain in Week 2 and was originally expected to miss multiple weeks, according to head coach Kyle Shanahan. However, Samuel now has a chance to miss only one game and return to action this weekend. Through the first two weeks of the season, Samuel averaged 18.4 PPR points and tallied 164 receiving yards. If Samuel is able to suit up he should be locked into all lineups as a high-end WR2. If Samuel misses his second straight game, Jauan Jennings should slot in as the No.2 wideout behind Brandon Aiyuk.

From RotoBaller